Montedio Yamagata vs Kataller Toyama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama
Result
3:0
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
78% (361/463)78% (403/515)
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
817
Corner Kicks
48
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
911
Passes
78% (361/463)78% (403/515)
Fouls
88
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Disaro A. S. , Kokubu S. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 0, Okamoto K. , Nakamura R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Inoue N. , Furukawa M. ,
  • 46', Ito T. , Yoshihira T. ,
  • 46', Ueda K. , Kawai Y. ,
  • 61', Takahashi Y. , Matsuoka D. ,
  • 64', Doi S. , Takahashi J. ,
  • 69', 3 - 0, Takahashi J. , Tanaka W. (A),
  • 72', Disaro A. S. , Mikeltadze B. ,
  • 72', Kokubu S. , Sakamoto K. ,
  • 84', Yoshida A. , Ura J. ,
  • 87', Kida R. , Kawai A. ,
  • 87', Tanaka W. , Terayama T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montedio Yamagata
51.4%
Draw
26.3%
Kataller Toyama
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 26.9% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 22.3% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montedio Yamagata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kataller Toyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.88)
    3.45
    (3.46)
    4.07
    (3.96)
    8.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montedio Yamagata: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
    • In recent matches, Montedio Yamagata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kataller Toyama has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Montedio Yamagata has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Montedio Yamagata is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata 0:0
    13.03.2024 Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata 2:1
    Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
    Latest results of Kataller Toyama
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito29159545:281754
    2V-Varen Nagasaki29159548:39954
    3Chiba29156840:271351
    4Tokushima29139729:171248
    5Iwata29146944:36848
    6Vegalta Sendai291212533:27648
    7Omiya Ardija29138839:251447
    8Sagan Tosu29137934:31346
    9Imabari291110835:30543
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo291241336:49-1340
    11Iwaki291091044:37739
    12Kofu291081131:30138
    13Montedio Yamagata291051442:41135
    14Blaublitz291051439:48-935
    15Fujieda MYFC29891235:38-333
    16Kumamoto29961435:43-833
    17Oita Trinita296121123:33-1030
    18Renofa Yamaguchi294131227:37-1025
    19Toyama29581622:39-1723
    20Ehime292111627:53-2617

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League