Kataller Toyama vs V-Varen Nagasaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki
Result
1:2
06/05/2025 at 00:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (303/383)86% (540/631)
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
413
Passes
79% (303/383)86% (540/631)
Fouls
1311
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Take H. , Fukazawa S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Aoki S. , Marcos Guilherme ,
  • 46', Abe T. , Yamaguchi H. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Juanma Delgado , Masuyama A. (A),
  • 47', Matsumoto T. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Matheus Jesus , Masuyama A. (A),
  • 62', Yoshihira T. , Matsuoka D. ,
  • 62', Fukazawa S. , Ueda K. ,
  • 69', Matsuda R. , Usui S. ,
  • 72', Masuyama A. , Matsuzawa K. ,
  • 83', Take H. , Inoue N. ,
  • 83', Takahashi Y. , Ito T. ,
  • 84', Matheus Jesus , Nagura T. ,
  • 86', Goto M. 🟨,
  • 89', Teruyama H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Matsumoto T. , Sawada T. ,

Chances of winning


Kataller Toyama
26.7%
Draw
27.6%
V-Varen Nagasaki
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 27.5% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 27.3% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (3.15)
    3.37
    (3.3)
    2.06
    (2.07)
    7.3%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 10).
    • Kataller Toyama has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • V-Varen Nagasaki's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • V-Varen Nagasaki will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Kataller Toyama
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito26156540:231751
    2Chiba26146637:231448
    3Tokushima26128626:141244
    4Vegalta Sendai261110530:25543
    5V-Varen Nagasaki25119541:36542
    6Sagan Tosu25126726:22442
    7Omiya Ardija25118634:221241
    8Iwata26125941:36541
    9Imabari261010633:26740
    10Kofu2598825:23235
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo261041232:43-1134
    12Blaublitz26941334:43-931
    13Iwaki26791033:36-330
    14Montedio Yamagata26851336:38-229
    15Fujieda MYFC26781129:34-529
    16Oita Trinita25610922:26-428
    17Kumamoto26761332:41-927
    18Toyama26581322:33-1123
    19Renofa Yamaguchi263121123:33-1021
    20Ehime252101323:42-1916

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