Katarina Zavatska vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Women Katarina Zavatska - Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Result
2:1
13/10/2025 at 03:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
37
1st Serve Percentage
72%45%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (37/58)66% (27/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (10/23)35% (18/51)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)50% (7/14)
1st Return Points Won
34% (14/41)36% (21/58)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (33/51)57% (13/23)
Break Points Converted
50% (7/14)30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
58% (47/81)49% (45/92)
Return Points Won
51% (47/92)42% (34/81)
Total Points Won
54% (94/173)46% (79/173)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)42% (5/12)
Return Games Won
58% (7/12)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
65% (15/23)35% (8/23)

Chances of winning


Katarina Zavatska
60.8%
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Katarina Zavatska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katarina Zavatska's performance.
  • Ekaterina Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ekaterina Ovcharenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katarina Zavatska than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katarina Zavatska that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ekaterina Ovcharenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Katarina Zavatska - Ekaterina Ovcharenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.91)

    2.53
    (1.8)
    1.9%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Katarina Zavatska - Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zavatska (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zavatska is ranked WTA: 419. Ovcharenko is ranked WTA: 437.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ovcharenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Katarina Zavatska
    Latest results of Ekaterina Ovcharenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Tararudee L.2 : 0
    2Prozorova T.Reyngold E. (Q)2 : 0
    3Li X.Hartono A.0 : 2
    4Shi H.Sun L. (6)1 : 2
    5Tjen J. (3)Wang Y.2 : 1
    6Iatcenko P.Pridankina E.2 : 1
    7Kaji H.Ren Y.2 : 1
    8Gao X.Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7)2 : 0
    9Osuigwe W. (8)Paquet C.2 : 0
    10Nugroho P. M. (Q)Bai Z.2 : 1
    11Rodionova Ar.Andreeva E.2 : 0
    12Tian F. (Q)Erjavec V. (4)0 : 2
    13Jimenez Kasintseva V. (5)Ma Y.1 : 2
    14Korneeva A.You X.2 : 1
    15Wei S.Zavatska K. (Q)2 : 0
    16Astakhova D.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Prozorova T.2 : 0
    2Hartono A.Sun L. (6)0 : 2
    3Tjen J. (3)Iatcenko P.2 : 0
    4Kaji H.Gao X.0 : 2
    5Osuigwe W. (8)Nugroho P. M.1 : 2
    6Rodionova Ar.Erjavec V. (4)2 : 1
    7Ma Y.Korneeva A.2 : 0
    8Wei S.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zakharova A. (1)Sun L. (6)0 : 2
    2Tjen J. (3)Gao X.2 : 0
    3Nugroho P. M.Rodionova Ar.2 : 1
    4Ma Y.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sun L. (6)Tjen J. (3)1 : 2
    2Nugroho P. M.Bondar A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Tjen J. (3)Bondar A. (2)2 : 1