Mayar Sherif vs Katarzyna Kawa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/03/2026 at 02:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
78%66%
1st serve points won
49% (31/63)53% (26/49)
2nd serve points won
39% (7/18)44% (11/25)
Break Points Saved
36% (4/11)57% (8/14)
1st return points won
47% (23/49)52% (33/63)
2nd return points won
56% (14/25)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
43% (6/14)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
46% (37/81)50% (37/74)
Return Points Won
50% (37/74)54% (44/81)
Total Points Won
48% (74/155)52% (81/155)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
42% (5/12)50% (6/12)
Return games won
50% (6/12)58% (7/12)
Total games won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Mayar Sherif
75.8%
Katarzyna Kawa
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mayar Sherif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mayar Sherif's performance.
  • Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katarzyna Kawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mayar Sherif than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mayar Sherif that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katarzyna Kawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mayar Sherif - Katarzyna Kawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.33)

    3.85
    (3.15)
    7%
    (6.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sherif is ranked WTA: 111. Kawa is ranked WTA: 147.
    • Sherif has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kawa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Kawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sherif is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sherif won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mayar Sherif - Katarzyna Kawa were as follows:
    11.07.2025 Katarzyna Kawa - Mayar Sherif 2:1
    01.12.2024 Katarzyna Kawa - Mayar Sherif 1:2
    Latest results of Katarzyna Kawa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Brancaccio N.2 : 1
    2Shymanovich I.Pigato L. (Q)2 : 0
    3Riera J.Kostovic T. (Q)2 : 1
    4Maristany G.Rus A. (8)2 : 0
    5Uchijima M. (3)Kumru A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Cengiz B. (WC)Bronzetti L.0 : 2
    7Papamichail D.Ristic M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Lachinova A. (WC)Chwalinska M. (7)0 : 2
    9Sherif M. (5)Kawa K.1 : 2
    10Oz I. (WC)Zavatska K. (Q)2 : 0
    11Romero Gormaz L.Monnet C.2 : 1
    12Zidansek T.Erjavec V. (4)2 : 1
    13Salkova D. (5)Avanesyan E.0 : 2
    14Kalinina A.Gorgodze E.2 : 1
    15Charaeva A.Kudermetova P.0 : 2
    16Gasanova A.Udvardy P. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Shymanovich I.2 : 0
    2Riera J.Maristany G.1 : 2
    3Uchijima M. (3)Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    4Papamichail D.Chwalinska M. (7)0 : 2
    5Kawa K.Oz I.2 : 0
    6Romero Gormaz L.Zidansek T.0 : 2
    7Avanesyan E.Kalinina A.0 : 2
    8Kudermetova P.Udvardy P. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Maristany G.2 : 1
    2Uchijima M. (3)Chwalinska M. (7)2 : 1
    3Kawa K.Zidansek T.2 : 0
    4Kalinina A.Udvardy P. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Uchijima M. (3)2 : 0
    2Kawa K.Kalinina A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Oliynykova O. (1)Kalinina A.1 : 2