Katarzyna Kawa vs Xin Gao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Guangzhou Katarzyna Kawa - Xin Gao
Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Guangzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
56%66%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (35/47)72% (39/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (15/37)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
28% (15/54)51% (24/47)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (16/28)59% (22/37)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)45% (5/11)
Service Points Won
58% (48/83)62% (51/82)
Return Points Won
38% (31/82)42% (35/83)
Total Points Won
48% (79/165)52% (86/165)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Katarzyna Kawa
32.7%
Xin Gao
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Xin Gao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xin Gao than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Katarzyna Kawa - Xin Gao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.5)

    1.4
    (1.51)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kawa is ranked WTA: 120. Gao is ranked WTA: 191.
    • Kawa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gao's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gao is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Katarzyna Kawa
    Latest results of Xin Gao
    16.10.2025 Janice Tjen - Xin Gao 2:0
    15.10.2025 Haruka Kaji - Xin Gao 0:2
    23.09.2025 Riya Bhatia - Xin Gao 2:1
    03.09.2025 Xin Gao - Alina Charaeva Charaeva A. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bouzas Maneiro J. (1)Sun L. (Q)0 : 2
    2Wang Y. (WC)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    3Juvan K. (Q)McNally C.1 : 2
    4Tomljanovic A.Parks A. (5)2 : 0
    5Eala A. (4)Liu C. (Q)1 : 2
    6Bondar A.Guo H. (WC)2 : 1
    7Seidel E.Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    8Korneeva A. (Q)Putintseva Y. (6)1 : 2
    9Kudermetova P. (8)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (LL)1 : 2
    10Kawa K. (Q)Volynets K. (Q)1 : 2
    11Zhang S. (WC)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    12Erjavec V.Maria T. (3)2 : 1
    13Jones F. (7)Wang Xiy. (WC)0 : 2
    14Cocciaretto E.Parry D.2 : 1
    15Osorio C.Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    16Jimenez Kasintseva V. (LL)Li A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sun L.Wang Y.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    3Liu C.Bondar A.2 : 0
    4Seidel E.Putintseva Y. (6)2 : 0
    5Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.Volynets K.0 : 2
    6Zhang S.Erjavec V.2 : 1
    7Wang Xiy.Cocciaretto E.1 : 2
    8Osorio C.Li A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sun L.McNally C.2 : 1
    2Liu C.Seidel E.2 : 1
    3Volynets K.Zhang S.1 : 2
    4Cocciaretto E.Li A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sun L.Liu C.2 : 0
    2Zhang S. (RET.)Li A. (2)0 : 0

    Final
    1Sun L.Li A. (2)