Katie Boulter vs Jasmine Paolini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	1
Double Faults
5	2
1st Serve Percentage
64%	69%
1st Serve Points Won
39% (9/23)	67% (22/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
15% (2/13)	60% (9/15)
Break Points Saved
14% (1/7)	50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
33% (11/33)	65% (15/23)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (6/15)	85% (11/13)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)	86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
31% (11/36)	65% (31/48)
Return Points Won
35% (17/48)	69% (25/36)
Total Points Won
33% (28/84)	67% (56/84)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
2	0
Service Games Won
14% (1/7)	75% (6/8)
Return Games Won
25% (2/8)	86% (6/7)
Total Games Won
20% (3/15)	80% (12/15)

Chances of winning

Katie Boulter
21.3%

Jasmine Paolini
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Boulter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katie Boulter's form might have worsened.

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmine Paolini's recent form is better than expected.

Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.43)		1.2 ↓ (1.25)	5.5% (9.2%)

What is the prediction for Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Boulter will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Paolini will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 46.1% – 91.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Boulter is ranked WTA: 40. Paolini is ranked WTA: 6.
Two players are playing changeable.
Boulter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Paolini is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Boulter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Katie Boulter won against Jasmine Paolini?

Katie Boulter has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Katie Boulter?

Jasmine Paolini has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini were as follows:

27.06.2024 Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini 0:2

29.01.2024 Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini 2:0

Latest results of Katie Boulter

22.04.2025 Katie Boulter - Katerina Siniakova 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Katie Boulter - Suzan Lamens 0:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Katie Boulter - Tatjana Maria 2:1 ✺

19.03.2025 Katie Boulter - Peyton Stearns 0:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Elena Rybakina - Katie Boulter 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Jasmine Paolini

20.04.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini 0:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Jule Niemeier - Jasmine Paolini 0:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Eva Lys - Jasmine Paolini 0:2 ✺

27.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Blinkova A. (Q)	Udvardy P. (Q)	2 : 0
3	Arango E. (WC)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Mertens E. (28)
5	Putintseva Y. (22)	Bye
6	Tomljanovic A. (WC)	Masarova R. (Q)	1 : 2
7	Stearns P.	Birrell K.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Anisimova A. (15)
9	Bucsa C. (LL)	Bye
10	Kudermetova V.	Kudermetova P.	2 : 0
11	Lamens S.	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Kostyuk M. (24)
13	Kenin S. (32)	Bye
14	Sun L.	Gracheva V.	2 : 1
15	Krueger A.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Zheng Q. (8)
17	Pegula J. (3)	Bye
18	Lys E.	Kostovic T. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Uchijima M.	Montgomery R. (WC)	2 : 1
20	Bye	Jabeur O. (26)
21	Alexandrova E. (21)	Bye
22	Azarenka V.	Danilovic O.	0 : 2
23	Parks A.	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Kasatkina D. (14)
25	Rybakina E. (10)	Bye
26	Kessler M.	Andreescu B.	0 : 2
27	Cristian J.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Svitolina E. (17)
29	Linette M. (29)	Bye
30	Wang Xin.	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
31	Boulter K.	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
32	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
33	Andreeva M. (7)	Bye
34	Zarazua R.	Bouzkova M.	1 : 2
35	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Sherif M.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Frech M. (27)
37	Samsonova L. (18)	Bye
38	Avanesyan E.	Dolehide C.	0 : 2
39	Starodubtseva Y. (Q)	Fruhvirtova L. (WC)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Cocciaretto E. (LL)
41	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Bye
42	Pera B. (LL)	Fett J. (Q)	2 : 0
43	Bencic B.	Sonmez Z. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tauson C. (20)
45	Fernandez L. (25)	Bye
46	Sasnovich A. (Q)	Li A.	0 : 2
47	Jones F. (Q)	Yastremska D.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
49	Keys M. (5)	Bye
50	Osaka N.	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
51	Parry D. (Q)	Begu I.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (30)
53	Vekic D. (19)	Bye
54	Cirstea S.	Baptiste H. (WC)	1 : 2
55	Joint M. (Q)	Martinez Cirez C. (WC)	2 : 1
56	Bye	Navarro E. (11)
57	Shnaider D. (13)	Bye
58	Volynets K.	Kvitova P.	2 : 0
59	Sevastova A.	Pavlyuchenkova A.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (23)
61	Noskova L. (31)	Bye
62	Carle M. L. (Q)	Sramkova R.	2 : 0
63	Tomova V.	Eala A. (WC)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Mertens E. (28)	0 : 2
3	Putintseva Y. (22)	Masarova R.	0 : 2
4	Stearns P.	Anisimova A. (15)	2 : 1
5	Bucsa C.	Kudermetova V.	1 : 2
6	Raducanu E.	Kostyuk M. (24)	1 : 2
7	Kenin S. (32)	Sun L.	2 : 0
8	Potapova A.	Zheng Q. (8)	2 : 0
9	Pegula J. (3)	Lys E.	2 : 0
10	Uchijima M.	Jabeur O. (26)	2 : 1
11	Alexandrova E. (21)	Danilovic O.	2 : 0
12	Parks A.	Kasatkina D. (14)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (10)	Andreescu B.	2 : 0
14	Kartal S.	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
15	Linette M. (29)	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
16	Boulter K.	Paolini J. (6)	0 : 2
17	Andreeva M. (7)	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
18	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Frech M. (27)	1 : 2
19	Samsonova L. (18)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
20	Starodubtseva Y.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
21	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Pera B.	2 : 1
22	Bencic B.	Tauson C. (20)	2 : 0
23	Fernandez L. (25)	Li A.	1 : 2
24	Yastremska D.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
25	Keys M. (5)	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
26	Parry D.	Kalinskaya A. (30)	0 : 2
27	Vekic D. (19)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
28	Joint M.	Navarro E. (11)	0 : 2
29	Shnaider D. (13)	Volynets K.	2 : 0
30	Sevastova A.	Ostapenko J. (23)	2 : 0
31	Noskova L. (31)	Carle M. L.	2 : 0
32	Eala A.	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Mertens E. (28)	2 : 1
2	Masarova R.	Stearns P.	0 : 2
3	Kudermetova V.	Kostyuk M. (24)	1 : 2
4	Kenin S. (32)	Potapova A.	1 : 2
5	Pegula J. (3)	Uchijima M.	0 : 2
6	Alexandrova E. (21)	Kasatkina D. (14)	2 : 0
7	Rybakina E. (10)	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
8	Sakkari M.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Andreeva M. (7)	Frech M. (27)	2 : 0
10	Samsonova L. (18)	Starodubtseva Y.	1 : 2
11	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
12	Li A.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Keys M. (5)	Kalinskaya A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Vekic D. (19)	Navarro E. (11)	2 : 1
15	Shnaider D. (13)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
16	Noskova L. (31)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Stearns P.	2 : 0
2	Kostyuk M. (24)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
3	Uchijima M.	Alexandrova E. (21)	2 : 0
4	Svitolina E. (17)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
5	Andreeva M. (7)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
6	Bencic B.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
7	Keys M. (5)	Vekic D. (19)	2 : 0
8	Shnaider D. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kostyuk M. (24)	2 : 0
2	Uchijima M.	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (7)	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
4	Keys M. (5)	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Svitolina E. (17)	2 : 0
2	Gauff C. (4)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Gauff C. (4)

2 : 0