Result
2:1
27/02/2026 at 22:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 68% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 57% (32/56) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 38% (10/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 57% (8/14) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 48% (24/50) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 50% (10/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (36/70) | 51% (42/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (40/82) | 49% (34/70) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (76/152) | 50% (76/152) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 50% (12/24) |
Chances of winning
Jasmine Paolini 57% | Katie Boulter 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmine Paolini's form might have worsened.Katie Boulter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katie Boulter's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katie Boulter, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jasmine Paolini - Katie Boulter Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.4) |
|
2.28 ↓ (2.98) |
-0.3% (5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Jasmine Paolini - Katie Boulter?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Boulter will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 1 - 50%). Boulter (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Sets - Paolini (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Boulter (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Paolini is ranked WTA: 7. Boulter is ranked WTA: 69.
- Paolini has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Boulter is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Boulter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Paolini is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jasmine Paolini won against Katie Boulter?
Jasmine Paolini has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Katie Boulter won against Jasmine Paolini?
Katie Boulter has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jasmine Paolini - Katie Boulter were as follows:
25.04.2025
Katie Boulter
-
Jasmine Paolini
0:2
27.06.2024
Katie Boulter
-
Jasmine Paolini
0:2
29.01.2024
Katie Boulter
-
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
Latest results of Katie Boulter
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hon P. | Zarazua R. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Boulter K. (WC) | Haddad Maia B. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Osorio C. | Tjen J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Li A. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Brace C. (Q) | Sonmez Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Bucsa C. | Vekic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Stakusic M. (WC) | Yastremska D. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Bouzas Maneiro J. (7) | Watson H. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Frech M. | Timofeeva M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Arango E. | Potapova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Bouzkova M. (4) | |
| 13 | Linette M. (8) | Maria T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Lepchenko V. (Q) | Zhang S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Navarro E. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Hon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boulter K. | Osorio C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Li A. (3) | Sonmez Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bucsa C. | Stakusic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Bouzas Maneiro J. (7) | Frech M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Arango E. (RET.) | Bouzkova M. (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Linette M. (8) | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Zhang S. | Navarro E. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Boulter K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sonmez Z. | Bucsa C. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Frech M. | Bouzkova M. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. | Zhang S. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paolini J. (1) | Bucsa C. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Frech M. | Zhang S. | 2 : 1 |
Final