Jasmine Paolini vs Katie Boulter – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/02/2026 at 22:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
71%68%
1st serve points won
52% (26/50)57% (32/56)
2nd serve points won
50% (10/20)38% (10/26)
Break Points Saved
33% (3/9)57% (8/14)
1st return points won
43% (24/56)48% (24/50)
2nd return points won
62% (16/26)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
43% (6/14)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
51% (36/70)51% (42/82)
Return Points Won
49% (40/82)49% (34/70)
Total Points Won
50% (76/152)50% (76/152)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (6/12)50% (6/12)
Return games won
50% (6/12)50% (6/12)
Total games won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Jasmine Paolini
57%
Katie Boulter
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.1% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmine Paolini's form might have worsened.
  • Katie Boulter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katie Boulter's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jasmine Paolini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katie Boulter, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jasmine Paolini - Katie Boulter Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.4)

    2.28
    (2.98)
    -0.3%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jasmine Paolini - Katie Boulter?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Boulter will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 1 - 50%). Boulter (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Paolini (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paolini (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Boulter (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paolini is ranked WTA: 7. Boulter is ranked WTA: 69.
    • Paolini has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boulter is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Boulter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paolini is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paolini won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jasmine Paolini - Katie Boulter were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini 0:2
    27.06.2024 Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini 0:2
    29.01.2024 Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini 2:0
    Latest results of Jasmine Paolini
    Latest results of Katie Boulter
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)2 : 0
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Hon P.2 : 0
    2Boulter K.Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Li A. (3)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    4Bucsa C.Stakusic M.2 : 0
    5Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Frech M.0 : 2
    6Arango E. (RET.)Bouzkova M. (4)1 : 1
    7Linette M. (8)Jimenez Kasintseva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang S.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Boulter K.2 : 1
    2Sonmez Z.Bucsa C.0 : 2
    3Frech M.Bouzkova M. (4)2 : 1
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Zhang S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bucsa C.0 : 2
    2Frech M.Zhang S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Bucsa C.Frech M.2 : 1