Katie Boulter vs Maria Camila Osorio Serrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Osorio C. retired
25/02/2026 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
46%59%
1st serve points won
64% (7/11)47% (8/17)
2nd serve points won
54% (7/13)33% (4/12)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)25% (1/4)
1st return points won
53% (9/17)36% (4/11)
2nd return points won
67% (8/12)46% (6/13)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)20% (1/5)
Service Points Won
58% (14/24)43% (12/28)
Return Points Won
57% (16/28)42% (10/24)
Total Points Won
58% (30/52)42% (22/52)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (3/4)40% (2/5)
Return games won
60% (3/5)25% (1/4)
Total games won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)

Chances of winning


Katie Boulter
47.4%
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Katie Boulter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katie Boulter that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Camila Osorio Serrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.83)

    1.88
    (1.83)
    2.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boulter will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Osorio Serrano: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Osorio Serrano (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Boulter is ranked WTA: 69. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 61.
    • Boulter is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Osorio Serrano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Osorio Serrano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boulter won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano were as follows:
    12.08.2023 Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Boulter K. retired
    Latest results of Katie Boulter
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.2 : 1
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)2 : 0
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.2 : 0
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Hon P.2 : 0
    2Boulter K.Osorio C. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Li A. (3)Sonmez Z.1 : 2
    4Bucsa C.Stakusic M.2 : 0
    5Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Frech M.0 : 2
    6Arango E. (RET.)Bouzkova M. (4)1 : 1
    7Linette M. (8)Jimenez Kasintseva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang S.Navarro E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Boulter K.2 : 1
    2Sonmez Z.Bucsa C.0 : 2
    3Frech M.Bouzkova M. (4)2 : 1
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Zhang S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bucsa C.0 : 2
    2Frech M.Zhang S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Bucsa C.Frech M.2 : 1