Varvara Lepchenko vs Katrina Scott – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
50
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
77%71%
1st serve points won
66% (27/41)57% (26/46)
2nd serve points won
75% (9/12)53% (10/19)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)64% (7/11)
1st return points won
46% (21/46)34% (14/41)
2nd return points won
47% (9/19)25% (3/12)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
68% (36/53)54% (35/65)
Return Points Won
46% (30/65)32% (17/53)
Total Points Won
56% (66/118)44% (52/118)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)20% (2/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
42.6%
Katrina Scott
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 50.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Katrina Scott has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katrina Scott than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Katrina Scott, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Katrina Scott Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2)

    1.62
    (1.73)
    7.5%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Varvara Lepchenko - Katrina Scott?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lepchenko (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5 Games - Scott (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lepchenko (votes: 1 - 50%). Scott (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 150. Scott is ranked WTA: 283.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lepchenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varvara Lepchenko - Katrina Scott were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Katrina Scott - Varvara Lepchenko 2:0
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Katrina Scott
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2Boulter K.TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13Jimenez Kasintseva V.
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2