Neptūnas-Akvaservis vs Kauno Žalgiris-2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
89:71
07/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NKL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6061
Field goals made
3225
Field goals %
53.33%40.98%
2-point field goals attempts
3736
2-point field goals made
2018
2-point field goals %
54.05%50%
3-point field goals attempts
2325
3-point field goals made
127
3-point field goals %
52.17%28%
Free throws attempts
1517
Free throws made
1314
Free throws %
86.7%82.4%
Offensive rebounds
915
Defensive rebounds
2119
Total rebounds
3034
Assists
1713
Blocks
25
Turnovers
1113
Steals
85
Personal fouls
2121

Chances of winning


Neptūnas-Akvaservis
55%
Kauno Žalgiris-2
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neptūnas-Akvaservis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neptūnas-Akvaservis's performance.
  • Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauno Žalgiris-2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas-Akvaservis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Žalgiris-2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.83)

    2.05
    (1.79)
    8.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 158.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • Neptunas leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 3.
    • Neptūnas-Akvaservis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Žalgiris-2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Žalgiris-2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Neptūnas-Akvaservis might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Neptūnas-Akvaservis will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 845:872. (average 76.8:79.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 476:480. (average 79.3:80).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2 were as follows:
    03.04.2026 Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis 75:79
    01.04.2026 Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2 93:103
    28.03.2026 Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis 72:78
    20.01.2026 Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2 80:79
    18.10.2025 Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis 87:75
    Latest results of Neptūnas-Akvaservis
    Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris-2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Suduva-Mantinga (1)Bye
    2Mazeikiai (8)Jurbarkas (9)0 : 2
    3Vilkaviskis (4)Bye
    4Kedainiu SC (5)Silute (12)0 : 2
    5Zalgiris Kaunas 2 (2)Bye
    6Telsiai (7)Neptunas 2 (10)1 : 2
    7Vytis VDU (3)Bye
    8Rytas 2 (6)Kretinga (11)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Suduva-Mantinga (1)Jurbarkas (9)3 : 1
    2Vilkaviskis (4)Silute (12)3 : 0
    3Zalgiris Kaunas 2 (2)Neptunas 2 (10)1 : 3
    4Vytis VDU (3)Kretinga (11)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Suduva-MantingaVilkaviskis
    2TBD #3TBD #4