Result
2:0
14/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Velkovski D. ⚽, Kovachev S. (A),
- 12', Benchaib A. 🟨,
- 12', 2 - 0, Kovachev S. ⚽, Karagaren B. (A),
- 15', Nikolov G. 🟨,
- 24', Chogadze T. 🟨,
- 34', Naah D. 🟥,
- 45+3', Chogadze T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nikolov G. ↓, Tilev I. ↑,
- 46', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
- 46', Sirgedas G. ↓, Armanavicius V. ↑,
- 46', Tolordava A. ↓, Kerkez D. ↑,
- 46', Benchaib A. ↓, Cernych F. ↑,
- 46', Ourega F. ↓, Paulauskas V. ↑,
- 58', Georgijevic D. 🟨,
- 62', Iyobosa Edokpolor N. ↓, Jurjonas E. ↑,
- 65', Velev V. ↓, Gustavo Cascardo ↑,
- 65', Kovachev S. ↓, Mane I. ↑,
- 75', Karagaren B. ↓, Kazakov I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali
56.5% | Draw
27.3% | Kauno Žalgiris
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arda Kardzhali's performance.Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauno Žalgiris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arda Kardzhali that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Žalgiris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.96) |
4.29 ↑
(3.1) |
7.51 ↑
(3.75) |
-12.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%). Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 17 - 48.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kauno Žalgiris: 32% – 65.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 4 - 25%). Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- Arda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kauno Žalgiris has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Arda might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Kauno Žalgiris?
Arda Kardzhali has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kauno Žalgiris won against Arda Kardzhali?
Kauno Žalgiris has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris were as follows:
07.08.2025
Kauno Žalgiris
-
Arda Kardzhali
0:1
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
