Valur vs Kauno Žalgiris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Ísland 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
68
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
13
Corner Kicks
85
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1621
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1712
Goalkeeper Saves
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Chogadze T. , Pavlovic D. (A),
  • 40', Skoglund A. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Omarsson O. ,
  • 45+4', Svedkauskas T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 2, Benchaib A. ,
  • 54', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
  • 64', Georgijevic D. , Jansonas R. ,
  • 64', Pavlovic D. , Armanavicius V. ,
  • 70', Sigurdsson K. , Johannsson A. ,
  • 70', Skoglund A. , Palsson A. ,
  • 75', Chogadze T. , Cernych F. ,
  • 84', Jonsson J. , Hoti A. ,
  • 84', Palsson J. , Jonsson B. ,
  • 90', Palsson A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Benchaib A. , Burdzilauskas E. ,
  • 90+2', Sirgedas G. , Lekiatas R. ,

Chances of winning


Valur
45.6%
Draw
27.2%
Kauno Žalgiris
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 29% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 27.1% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Valur - Kauno Žalgiris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.98)
    3.41
    (3.08)
    3.43
    (3.45)
    7.2%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Valur - Kauno Žalgiris?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Valur will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 59.6%86.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Valur (3.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Valur (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • Valur is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kauno Žalgiris is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kauno Žalgiris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Valur could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valur won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valur - Kauno Žalgiris were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Valur 1:1
    Latest results of Valur
    27.07.2025 Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur 3:1
    24.07.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Valur 1:1
    20.07.2025 Vikingur Reykjavik - Valur 1:2
    17.07.2025 Flora Tallinn - Valur 1:2
    10.07.2025 Valur - Flora Tallinn 3:0
    Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
    Draw
    Play Offs

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