Žalgiris vs Kauno Žalgiris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Cup Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris
Result
2:4 ET
20/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Lithuanian Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Tolordava A. 🟨,
  • 44', Salcinovic D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Bah-Traore H. (Own goal),
  • 58', Chogadze T. , Paulauskas V. ,
  • 58', Jansonas R. , Georgijevic D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Georgijevic D. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Georgijevic D. ,
  • 74', Salcinovic D. , Chol M. ,
  • 76', Sirgedas G. , Naah D. ,
  • 76', Ourega F. , Cernych F. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Setkus M. ,
  • 84', Setkus M. , Jarusevicius G. ,
  • 90', Hadji K. , Aleksa D. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 2)
  • 91', 2 - 3, Georgijevic D. ,
  • 98', Benchaib A. 🟨,
  • 100', Tavares B. 🟨,
  • 101', Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 🟨,
  • 113', 2 - 4, Georgijevic D. ,
  • 120+1', Aleksa D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Žalgiris
38.9%
Draw
27.5%
Kauno Žalgiris
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.3% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 26.8% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žalgiris's form might have worsened.
  • Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kauno Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Žalgiris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (1.82)
    3.31
    (3.6)
    2.7
    (3.67)
    10.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Žalgiris will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 2.
    • Žalgiris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kauno Žalgiris is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris 3:0
    06.04.2025 Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris 0:0
    22.09.2024 Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris 5:0
    05.07.2024 Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris 1:0
    19.05.2024 Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris 1:0
    Latest results of Žalgiris
    09.05.2025 Žalgiris - Riteriai 2:0
    06.05.2025 Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris 0:6
    25.04.2025 Žalgiris - Panevėžys 2:3
    Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Dainava AlytusZalgiris0 : 6
    2NeptunasKauno Zalgiris0 : 1
    3UtenisTauras Taurage1 : 5
    4Vilnius FASuduva0 : 4
    5AFK VilniusPempininkai4 : 2
    6SveikataBabrungas0 : 2
    7Nevezis KedainiaiFK Minija1 : 3
    8CementininkasDziugas Telsiai2 : 3
    9Kazlu RudaBE1 NFA1 : 0
    10Klaipedos FMJonava2 : 3
    11GarliavaEkranas1 : 0
    12Trivartis VilniusFK Panevezys0 : 13
    13SirijusTransinvest0 : 5
    14VGTU VilkaiHegelmann0 : 6
    15AtmosferaBanga0 : 2
    16RiteriaiSiauliai FA1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1ZalgirisKauno Zalgiris2 : 4
    2Tauras TaurageSuduva1 : 3
    3AFK VilniusBabrungas0 : 6
    4FK MinijaDziugas Telsiai0 : 1
    5Kazlu RudaJonava1 : 4
    6GarliavaFK Panevezys0 : 3
    7TransinvestHegelmann0 : 1
    8BangaSiauliai FA0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Kauno ZalgirisSuduva
    2BabrungasDziugas Telsiai
    3JonavaFK Panevezys
    4HegelmannSiauliai FA