Žalgiris vs Kauno Žalgiris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian A Lyga Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris
Result
1:2
04/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A Lyga - Round 23
  • Referee: Paulauskas V. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT TV
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
88
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Kerkez D. 🟨,
  • 27', Radenovic V. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Burdzilauskas E. ,
  • 31', Tavares B. 🟨,
  • 41', Paulauskas V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Naah D. , Sirgedas G. ,
  • 50', Kendysh Y. 🟨,
  • 59', Ofori E. , Salcinovic D. ,
  • 64', Burdzilauskas E. , Benchaib A. ,
  • 64', Jansonas R. , Georgijevic D. ,
  • 64', Paulauskas V. , Chogadze T. ,
  • 69', Setkus M. , Lukasevic K. ,
  • 71', Cernych F. , Ourega F. ,
  • 80', Radenovic V. 🟨,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Benchaib A. ,
  • 83', Antal L. , Hadji K. ,
  • 88', Armanavicius V. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, Tavares B. , Hadji K. (A),

Chances of winning


Žalgiris
38.4%
Draw
27.4%
Kauno Žalgiris
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 28.7% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 28.5% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Žalgiris's performance.
  • Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauno Žalgiris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Žalgiris that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Žalgiris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.9)
    3.45
    (3.14)
    2.77
    (2.25)
    5.6%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kauno Žalgiris: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 1.
    • In recent matches, Žalgiris has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kauno Žalgiris is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kauno Žalgiris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kauno Žalgiris will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris were as follows:
    20.05.2025 Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris 2:4
    17.05.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris 3:0
    06.04.2025 Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris 0:0
    22.09.2024 Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris 5:0
    05.07.2024 Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris 1:0
    Latest results of Žalgiris
    31.07.2025 Linfield - Žalgiris 2:0
    24.07.2025 Žalgiris - Linfield 0:0
    Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
    Lithuanian A Lyga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kauno Zalgiris21154243:113249
    2Hegelmann22141736:28843
    3Suduva23109433:221139
    4Siauliai FA24106838:33536
    5Dziugas Telsiai241041021:24-334
    6Zalgiris2388730:28232
    7FK Panevezys23941034:30431
    8Banga22841019:23-428
    9Dainava Alytus24351620:48-2814
    10Riteriai24351625:52-2714

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          A Lyga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ I Lyga