Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 18
- Referee: Zierkelbach P. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (464/550) | 75% (197/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (464/550) | 75% (197/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 27% (13/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (146/201) | 35% (15/43) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Meskhi M. 🟨,
- 42', Lacoux T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Makrai G. ↓, Konyves N. ↑,
- 51', Horvath K. 🟨,
- 57', Major M. ↓, Kun O. ↑,
- 58', Kartik B. ↓, Berecz Z. ↑,
- 58', Lacoux T. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
- 58', Ljujic M. ↓, Tucic M. ↑,
- 63', Szujo A. ↓, Szoke G. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Tucic M. ⚽, Beridze G. (A),
- 67', 1 - 1, Ubochioma M. ⚽, Kun O. (A),
- 80', Kun O. 🟨,
- 81', Meskhi M. 🟨,
- 82', Beridze G. ↓, Ganea G. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Nunes J. ⚽, Tucic M. (A),
- 85', Slogar M. ↓, Ferencsik B. ↑,
- 88', Fiola A. 🟨,
- 88', Berecz Z. 🟨,
- 90+1', Horvath K. ↓, Geiger B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ujpest
64.9% | Draw
19.9% | Kazincbarcikai
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ujpest have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Kazincbarcikai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-14.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ujpest that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Ujpest - Kazincbarcikai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.44) |
4.64 ↓
(4.67) |
6.08 ↓
(6.2) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ujpest - Kazincbarcikai?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Kazincbarcikai will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ujpest (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II.).
- Ujpest has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kazincbarcikai is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kazincbarcikai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ujpest is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ujpest won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against Kazincbarcikai?
Ujpest has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kazincbarcikai won against Ujpest?
Kazincbarcikai has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - Kazincbarcikai were as follows:
20.09.2025
Kazincbarcikai
-
Ujpest
2:0
Latest results of Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 50:27 | 23 | 50 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:31 | 9 | 44 |
| 4 | Zalaegerszegi | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | Kisvarda | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 38 |
| 6 | Paks | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 47:38 | 9 | 38 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:42 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35:44 | -9 | 29 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 45:54 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | DVTK | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 33:44 | -11 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:52 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
