Keçiörengücü vs Gaziantep – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
05/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 3
  • Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
turkeyTurkeyA Spor

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
36
Corner kicks
67
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
611
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
67
Free kicks
616
Throw ins
1812

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Lungoyi C. ,
  • 6', 1 - 1, Akman A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 21', Ozcicek O. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 2, Sangare N. , Kozlowski K. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 3, Dragus D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Bilgic H. , Bulut H. ,
  • 46', Sangare N. , Kabadayi Y. ,
  • 46', Ozcicek O. , Gassama K. ,
  • 65', 1 - 4, Dragus D. ,
  • 68', Kozlowski K. , Akmelek M. ,
  • 69', Akman A. , Cakmak M. ,
  • 69', Duman A. , Poyraz E. ,
  • 73', Lus S. 🟨,
  • 75', Kabasakal M. , Maxim A. ,
  • 79', Ayan H. , Ozdas B. ,
  • 80', Perez L. , Kalin A. O. ,
  • 82', Mexer 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 5, Akmelek M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', Celik A. 🟨,
  • 86', Develi E. , Kacan B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Keçiörengücü
18.9%
Draw
21.8%
Gaziantep
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 25.7% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.
  • Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gaziantep's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gaziantep, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Keçiörengücü - Gaziantep Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.92
    (2.89)
    4.26
    (3.45)
    1.57
    (2.23)
    7.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Gaziantep?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 44.1%94.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Gaziantep (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Gaziantep (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Gaziantep (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gaziantep will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 10 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Latest results of Gaziantep
    25.01.2026 Gaziantep - Konyaspor 1:1
    17.01.2026 Galatasaray - Gaziantep 1:1
    13.01.2026 Gaziantep - Kocaelispor 1:0
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray33006:249
    2Alanyaspor32107:257
    3Trabzonspor32019:276
    4Basaksehir32016:336
    5Karagumruk30213:6-32
    6Fethiyespor30121:5-41
    7Boluspor30121:6-51
    8Istanbulspor AS30122:9-71


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor330010:379
    2Konyaspor33008:179
    3Genclerbirligi32106:427
    4Igdir FK31119:454
    5Eyupspor31115:504
    6Aliaga30124:13-91
    7Bodrumspor30033:7-40
    8Antalyaspor30030:8-80


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas32106:247
    2Gaziantep32018:626
    3Fenerbahce32015:326
    4Rizespor31116:514
    5Kocaelispor31114:314
    6Erzurumspor31024:6-23
    7Keciorengucu31024:9-53
    8Beyoglu Yeni Carsi30122:5-31


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Genclerbirligi32106:427
    2Trabzonspor32019:276
    3Fenerbahce32015:326

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