Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 30
- Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/359) | 84% (320/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/359) | 84% (320/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 54% (26/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (48/77) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Demir M. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
- 13', Cakir B. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Yildirim P. ⚽, Yavuz S. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Diouf M. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Demir E. ↓, Owusu ↑,
- 63', Bostan M. ↓, Ruan Teixeira ↑,
- 63', Yildirim P. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 66', Fofana M. 🟨,
- 69', Fernandes J. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
- 81', Sen K. ↓, Cihan M. ↑,
- 82', Rroca E. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Keçiörengücü
53.7% | Draw
23.6% | Sakaryaspor
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keçiörengücü's form might have worsened.Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sakaryaspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keçiörengücü that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.49) |
3.99 ↓
(4.3) |
4.07 ↓
(5.67) |
7.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keçiörengücü: 55.2% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keçiörengücü will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 0.
- Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sakaryaspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Keçiörengücü is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Erdogan M.
(Injury)
Karaogul I.
(Yellow Cards)
Keskin B.
(Suspended)
Wellington Nascimento
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Turken A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Sakaryaspor?
Keçiörengücü has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Keçiörengücü?
Sakaryaspor has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
25.10.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:0
19.01.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Sakaryaspor
2:3
09.08.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:1
21.04.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Keçiörengücü
2:1
02.12.2023
Keçiörengücü
-
Sakaryaspor
1:3
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 79:24 | 55 | 78 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 77:36 | 41 | 72 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 79:33 | 46 | 70 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 42:44 | -2 | 43 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Boluspor | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 52:54 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 44:62 | -18 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
