Sakaryaspor vs Keçiörengücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü
Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 11
  • Referee: Dursun Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.13
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
73% (223/305)85% (345/407)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.54
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
73% (223/305)85% (345/407)
Long passes
41% (26/63)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
60% (56/94)78% (84/108)
Crosses
27% (3/11)32% (12/38)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.11
Throw-ins
2511
Fouls
1213
Tackles
71% (10/14)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4461
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.541.13
Goals prevented
0.540.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Mexer 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Kakuta G. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Akman A. , Rroca E. ,
  • 46', Ezeh F. , Osman H. ,
  • 46', Bulut H. , Roshi O. ,
  • 52', Rroca E. 🟨,
  • 64', Szumski J. 🟨,
  • 71', Keskin B. , Bilgic H. ,
  • 72', Okumus A. , Demir E. ,
  • 72', Demir M. , Kobiljar R. ,
  • 80', Ben Yedder W. , Altiparmak B. ,
  • 80', Ciftpinar S. , Cakir B. ,
  • 88', Yavuz S. , Demir A. ,
  • 90', Ayan H. , Fernandes J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sakaryaspor
41.9%
Draw
26.8%
Keçiörengücü
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 27.1% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.4% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.33)
    3.45
    (3.43)
    2.96
    (2.81)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 4.
    • Sakaryaspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Keçiörengücü's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Sanli B. (Inactive) Turken A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Akan M. (Inactive) Tasbakir R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor 2:3
    09.08.2024 Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü 1:1
    21.04.2024 Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü 2:1
    02.12.2023 Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor 1:3
    05.02.2023 Sakaryaspor - Keçiörengücü 2:0
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    05.10.2025 Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor 1:2
    29.09.2025 Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor 0:0
    25.09.2025 Pendikspor - Sakaryaspor 4:1
    21.09.2025 Sakaryaspor - Amed SK 2:1
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pendikspor1164123:91422
    2Bodrumspor1063125:91621
    3Corum1063119:91021
    4Erokspor1062228:121620
    5Amedspor1061325:151019
    6Erzurumspor1147019:10919
    7Igdir FK1053217:13418
    8Vanspor FK1145214:10417
    9Sakaryaspor1152419:20-117
    10Bandirmaspor1043315:12315
    11Sivasspor1135314:10414
    12Boluspor1034316:14213
    13Serik Spor113449:18-913
    14Istanbulspor AS1026212:12012
    15Keciorengucu1125410:13-311
    16Manisa FK1124514:20-610
    17Sariyer1122710:15-58
    18Umraniyespor112277:18-118
    19Hatayspor1104711:30-194
    20Adana Demirspor1101106:44-38-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation