Sarıyer vs Keçiörengücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
15/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.870.59
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
31
Passes
70% (200/286)81% (335/412)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.870.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.06
Total shots
96
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
11
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
63
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
20
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1414
Passes
70% (200/286)81% (335/412)
Long passes
28% (17/61)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
45% (39/86)63% (61/97)
Crosses
21% (3/14)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.49
Throw ins
2022
Fouls
1414
Tackles
55% (6/11)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4141
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.060.82
Goals prevented
0.06-2.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Mert M. , Korkmazoglu E. (A),
  • 37', Cetin S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Dere A. , Lus S. ,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Poko A. , Kor B. (A),
  • 62', Roshi O. , Fernandes J. ,
  • 62', Rroca E. , Ayan H. ,
  • 70', Karayel C. 🟨,
  • 74', Fernandes J. 🟨,
  • 77', Dembele P. M. , Kulasin E. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Kor B. , Camara M. (A),
  • 83', Camara M. , Kara A. ,
  • 83', Silva M. , Yilmaz O. ,
  • 85', Kara A. 🟨,
  • 87', Akdag I. , Akman A. ,
  • 87', Bulut H. , Diaby O. ,
  • 90+1', Kor B. , Sol O. ,
  • 90+1', Karayel C. , Aydogmus B. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Diouf M. , Ezeh F. (A),
  • 90+3', Ezeh F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarıyer
41.5%
Draw
27.6%
Keçiörengücü
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 27.2% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 26.7% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Sarıyer - Keçiörengücü Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.25)
    3.37
    (3.4)
    3.04
    (2.93)
    7.3%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sarıyer - Keçiörengücü?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Keçiörengücü (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sarıyer might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sarıyer: Babacar K. (Inactive) Bayram O. (Yellow Cards) Djilobodji P. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Erdogan M. (Injury) Keskin B. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Sarıyer: Ozer F. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.6:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarıyer - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer 3:0
    Latest results of Sarıyer
    10.03.2026 Manisa FK - Sarıyer 3:0
    06.03.2026 Sarıyer - Umraniyespor 1:2
    01.03.2026 Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer 0:0
    23.02.2026 Sarıyer - Adana Demirspor 5:0
    19.02.2026 Sarıyer - Amed SK 1:1
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor35239379:245578
    2Amedspor34218575:344171
    3Erokspor341910577:324567
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    15Boluspor351261752:54-242
    16Umraniyespor341261640:42-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor34891743:60-1733
    19Hatayspor35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to