Aidan McHugh vs Keegan Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lincoln Challenger Men Aidan McHugh - Keegan Smith
Result
0:2
13/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
06
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
78%84%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (43/70)74% (52/70)
2nd Serve Points Won
60% (12/20)38% (5/13)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)82% (9/11)
1st Return Points Won
27% (19/70)39% (27/70)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (8/13)40% (8/20)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)25% (2/8)
Service Points Won
61% (55/90)69% (57/83)
Return Points Won
31% (26/83)39% (35/90)
Total Points Won
47% (81/173)53% (92/173)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Aidan McHugh
49.1%
Keegan Smith
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aidan McHugh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aidan McHugh than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Aidan McHugh - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.84)

    1.83
    (1.85)
    7.4%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • McHugh is ranked ATP: 530. Smith is ranked ATP: 554.
    • In recent matches, McHugh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Smith is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, McHugh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aidan McHugh - Keegan Smith were as follows:
    24.05.2023 Keegan Smith - Aidan McHugh 0:2
    Latest results of Aidan McHugh
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Shah A. (RET.)1 : 1
    2Smith K. (Q)Lassila J. (WC)2 : 0
    3Jodar R.Kingsley C. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wiskandt M. (Q)Hassan B. (5)2 : 0
    5Kypson P. (4)Rosenkranz M.2 : 0
    6Banerjee S. (Alt)Ganesan A. (Q)2 : 1
    7Suresh D. (CO)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    8Perez A.Popko D. (6)2 : 0
    9Monday J. (7)Zink T.2 : 0
    10Zick S. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Wallin O.Mmoh M.0 : 2
    12Krueger M.Pinnington Jones J. (3)0 : 2
    13Damm M. (WC)Arseneault N. (Q)2 : 1
    14Hara Friend J. D. (CO)Tarvet O.0 : 2
    15Fenty A. (Q)Martin A.0 : 2
    16Ilagan A.Cassone M. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    3Kypson P. (4)Banerjee S.2 : 0
    4Suresh D.Perez A.2 : 0
    5Monday J. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    6Mmoh M.Pinnington Jones J. (3)2 : 0
    7Damm M.Tarvet O.2 : 0
    8Martin A.Ilagan A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Jodar R.0 : 2
    2Kypson P. (4)Suresh D.2 : 0
    3Monday J. (7)Mmoh M.2 : 0
    4Damm M.Ilagan A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jodar R.Kypson P. (4)2 : 0
    2Monday J. (7)Damm M.0 : 2

    Final
    1Jodar R.Damm M.