Andrew Fenty vs Keegan Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/10/2025 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
612
Double Faults
62
1st Serve Percentage
65%70%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (57/76)79% (57/72)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (25/41)61% (19/31)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (19/72)26% (20/76)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (12/31)39% (16/41)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)33% (2/6)
Service Points Won
70% (81/116)74% (76/103)
Return Points Won
26% (27/103)30% (35/116)
Total Points Won
49% (108/219)51% (111/219)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
22
Service Games Won
88% (15/17)94% (16/17)
Return Games Won
6% (1/17)12% (2/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Andrew Fenty
48.5%
Keegan Smith
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 46.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andrew Fenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrew Fenty's form might have worsened.
  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Fenty than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Andrew Fenty - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.73)

    1.83
    (2)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Fenty is ranked ATP: 470. Smith is ranked ATP: 528.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fenty won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Andrew Fenty - Keegan Smith were as follows:
    06.06.2025 Keegan Smith - Andrew Fenty 0:2
    Latest results of Andrew Fenty
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Thompson J. (1)Mmoh M.2 : 0
    2Zahraj P.Arutiunian E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Boulais J. (Q)Rosenkranz M.0 : 2
    4Krueger M.Cassone M. (6)1 : 2
    5Draxl L. (4)Blanch Dar. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Martin A.Shah A. (LL)2 : 1
    7Kingsley C. (WC)Perez A. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Monday J.Zheng M. (7)2 : 1
    9Kypson P. (5)Tarvet O. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Jodar R.Purtseladze S.2 : 0
    11Banerjee S. (WC)McHugh A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Pinnington Jones J.Hijikata R. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (8)Ghibaudo A. (Q)1 : 2
    14Fenty A. (Q)Smith K. (Q)2 : 1
    15Martin D.Damm M.0 : 2
    16Ilagan A. (WC)Holt B. (RET.) (2)0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Thompson J. (1)Arutiunian E.2 : 0
    2Rosenkranz M.Cassone M. (6)2 : 0
    3Draxl L. (4)Martin A.0 : 2
    4Perez A.Monday J.0 : 2
    5Kypson P. (5)Jodar R.2 : 0
    6Banerjee S.Hijikata R. (3)0 : 2
    7Ghibaudo A.Fenty A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Ilagan A.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Thompson J. (RET.) (1)Rosenkranz M.0 : 1
    2Martin A.Monday J.0 : 2
    3Kypson P. (5)Hijikata R. (3)2 : 0
    4Ghibaudo A.Damm M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rosenkranz M.Monday J.0 : 2
    2Kypson P. (5)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Monday J.Kypson P. (5)1 : 2