Daniel Milavsky vs Keegan Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/02/2026 at 15:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
811
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
64%61%
1st serve points won
72% (33/46)69% (24/35)
2nd serve points won
54% (14/26)55% (12/22)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)57% (4/7)
1st return points won
31% (11/35)28% (13/46)
2nd return points won
45% (10/22)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)25% (1/4)
Winners
2217
Unforced errors
2923
Net points won
67% (4/6)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
65% (47/72)63% (36/57)
Return Points Won
37% (21/57)35% (25/72)
Total Points Won
53% (68/129)47% (61/129)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Daniel Milavsky
40.1%
Keegan Smith
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Milavsky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Milavsky's performance.
  • Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keegan Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Milavsky than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Daniel Milavsky - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.72)

    1.56
    (1.4)
    7.5%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Milavsky - Keegan Smith?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Milavsky will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Smith will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Milavsky is ranked ATP: 441. Smith is ranked ATP: 338.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Smith is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Milavsky won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Milavsky - Keegan Smith were as follows:
    09.01.2026 Keegan Smith - Daniel Milavsky 2:1
    Latest results of Daniel Milavsky
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Ozolins K. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ghibaudo A.Kennedy J. (JR)0 : 2
    3Perot R.Corwin F. (Q)2 : 1
    4Milavsky D.Smith K. (8)2 : 0
    5Martin A. (3)Kingsley C.0 : 2
    6Arutiunian E.Jones B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Ilagan A.Gima S.2 : 0
    8Langmo C.Johns G. (5)2 : 0
    9Schachter N. (Q)Pieczkowski O.0 : 2
    10Vandecasteele Q. (WC)Forbes M. (WC)2 : 0
    11McCormick T.Strombachs R.0 : 2
    12Dostanic S. (Q)George B. T. (LL)2 : 0
    13Zink T. (7)Azkara A. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Fishback R. (Q)Shick B. (WC)1 : 2
    15Boulais J. (Alt)Bicknell B.1 : 2
    16Loncarevic A. (Q)Andrade A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Kennedy J.2 : 0
    2Perot R.Milavsky D.1 : 2
    3Kingsley C.Arutiunian E.2 : 0
    4Ilagan A.Langmo C.2 : 0
    5Pieczkowski O.Vandecasteele Q.2 : 0
    6Strombachs R.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    7Zink T. (7)Shick B.0 : 2
    8Bicknell B.Andrade A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Milavsky D.2 : 0
    2Kingsley C.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Pieczkowski O.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    4Shick B.Andrade A. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    2Dostanic S.Andrade A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (1)Dostanic S.0 : 2