Keegan Smith vs Jakub Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/02/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
78%72%
1st serve points won
69% (36/52)66% (29/44)
2nd serve points won
67% (10/15)29% (5/17)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)25% (1/4)
1st return points won
34% (15/44)31% (16/52)
2nd return points won
71% (12/17)33% (5/15)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)33% (1/3)
Winners
2719
Unforced errors
2530
Net points won
62% (13/21)58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
69% (46/67)56% (34/61)
Return Points Won
44% (27/61)31% (21/67)
Total Points Won
57% (73/128)43% (55/128)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Keegan Smith
73.9%
Jakub Paul
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.
  • Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Paul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.67)

    3.74
    (2.09)
    2.3%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Keegan Smith - Jakub Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Paul will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 50%). Paul (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 308. Paul is ranked ATP: 496.
    • Smith has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Latest results of Jakub Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)2 : 1
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.0 : 2
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)0 : 2
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G. (RET.)0 : 0
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.Lokoli L.1 : 2
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.0 : 2
    3Ofner S. (4)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    4Martineau M.Rodionov J. (7)2 : 0
    5Lajal M. (5)Herbert P.0 : 2
    6Poullain L.Droguet T. (3)1 : 2
    7Blanchet U. (6)Gadamauri B.2 : 0
    8Kukushkin M.Gaston H. (WO.) (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokoli L.Chidekh C.1 : 2
    2Ofner S. (4)Martineau M.2 : 0
    3Herbert P.Droguet T. (3)2 : 1
    4Blanchet U. (6)Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Chidekh C.Ofner S. (4)1 : 2
    2Herbert P.Gaston H. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Herbert P.2 : 0