Keegan Smith vs Li Tu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Chances of winning


Keegan Smith
42.1%
Li Tu
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 47.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keegan Smith's form might have worsened.
  • Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keegan Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Li Tu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Keegan Smith - Li Tu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.84)

    1.6
    (1.84)
    8.3%
    (8.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 301. Tu is ranked ATP: 381.
    • Recent form of Smith has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Tu will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Latest results of Li Tu
    14.04.2026 Hayato Matsuoka - Li Tu 0:2
    11.04.2026 Harry Wendelken - Li Tu 2:0
    09.04.2026 Kody Pearson - Li Tu 1:2
    08.04.2026 Li Tu - Alastair Gray 2:0
    07.04.2026 Pavle Marinkov - Li Tu 0:2