Result
1:2
16/04/2026 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 76% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 78% (52/67) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 58% (25/43) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 9/10 | 1/2 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (17/67) | 30% (29/96) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 42% (18/43) | 43% (13/30) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/2 | 1/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 31 | 56 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (84/126) | 70% (77/110) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (33/110) | 33% (42/126) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (117/236) | 50% (119/236) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 94% (15/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 6% (1/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 48% (16/33) |
Chances of winning
Keegan Smith
42% | Li Tu
58% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keegan Smith's form might have worsened.Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keegan Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Li Tu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Keegan Smith - Li Tu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.84) |
|
1.61 ↓
(1.84) |
7%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Keegan Smith - Li Tu?
Users Predictions:
Li Tu will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Smith is ranked ATP: 301. Tu is ranked ATP: 381.
- Smith is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Tu will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Keegan Smith won against Li Tu?
Keegan Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Li Tu won against Keegan Smith?
Li Tu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keegan Smith - Li Tu were as follows:
Latest results of Keegan Smith
