Keegan Smith vs Martin Damm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
29/10/2025 at 18:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
711
Double Faults
85
1st Serve Percentage
68%65%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (33/50)87% (26/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (8/23)63% (10/16)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
17% (5/30)36% (18/50)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (6/16)65% (15/23)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
56% (40/72)78% (36/46)
Return Points Won
22% (10/46)44% (32/72)
Total Points Won
42% (50/118)58% (68/118)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
32% (6/19)68% (13/19)

Chances of winning


Keegan Smith
28%
Martin Damm
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 66.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keegan Smith's form might have worsened.
  • Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martin Damm's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keegan Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Damm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Keegan Smith - Martin Damm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.72)

    1.3
    (1.4)
    7.9%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 521. Damm is ranked ATP: 191.
    • Smith is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Damm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Damm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Damm is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Latest results of Martin Damm