Keegan Smith vs Max Hans Rehberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
103
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
77%68%
1st serve points won
77% (68/88)72% (62/86)
2nd serve points won
42% (11/26)50% (20/40)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)88% (7/8)
1st return points won
28% (24/86)24% (21/88)
2nd return points won
50% (20/40)58% (15/26)
Break Points Converted
13% (1/8)20% (1/5)
Winners
3724
Unforced errors
4839
Net points won
77% (23/30)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
69% (79/114)65% (82/126)
Return Points Won
35% (44/126)31% (35/114)
Total Points Won
51% (123/240)49% (117/240)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
94% (16/17)94% (16/17)
Return games won
6% (1/17)6% (1/17)
Total games won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Keegan Smith
38.1%
Max Hans Rehberg
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Max Hans Rehberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Hans Rehberg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Keegan Smith - Max Hans Rehberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.46)

    1.5
    (1.49)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Keegan Smith - Max Hans Rehberg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rehberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 308. Rehberg is ranked ATP: 571.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rehberg could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Latest results of Max Hans Rehberg
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)2 : 1
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.0 : 2
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)0 : 2
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G. (RET.)0 : 0
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.Lokoli L.1 : 2
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.0 : 2
    3Ofner S. (4)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    4Martineau M.Rodionov J. (7)2 : 0
    5Lajal M. (5)Herbert P.0 : 2
    6Poullain L.Droguet T. (3)1 : 2
    7Blanchet U. (6)Gadamauri B.2 : 0
    8Kukushkin M.Gaston H. (WO.) (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokoli L.Chidekh C.1 : 2
    2Ofner S. (4)Martineau M.2 : 0
    3Herbert P.Droguet T. (3)2 : 1
    4Blanchet U. (6)Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Chidekh C.Ofner S. (4)1 : 2
    2Herbert P.Gaston H. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Herbert P.2 : 0