Luca Nardi vs Kei Nishikori – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Phoenix Challenger Men Luca Nardi - Kei Nishikori
Result
0:2
12/03/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
53%57%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)69% (27/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (9/26)34% (10/29)
Break Points Saved
14% (1/7)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
36% (14/39)48% (14/29)
2nd Return Points Won
66% (19/29)65% (17/26)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
44% (24/55)54% (36/67)
Return Points Won
46% (31/67)56% (31/55)
Total Points Won
45% (55/122)55% (67/122)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
33% (3/9)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)67% (6/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Luca Nardi
38.8%
Kei Nishikori
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 60.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Luca Nardi - Kei Nishikori Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.37)

    1.53
    (1.53)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Kei Nishikori?
  • Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nardi is ranked ATP: 67. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 76.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Nishikori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Nishikori will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Nardi - Kei Nishikori were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Kei Nishikori - Luca Nardi 2:1
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    Latest results of Kei Nishikori
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Bye
    2Fearnley J.Duckworth J.2 : 0
    3Smith C. (WC)Shevchenko A. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Eubanks C. (Alt)Safiullin R. (7)0 : 2
    5Martinez P. (3)Bye
    6Moutet C.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    7Hijikata R.Holt B. (WC)2 : 0
    8Bublik A.Vukic A. (5)2 : 1
    9Rinderknech A. (8)Opelka R. (Alt)1 : 2
    10Walton A.Gaston H.0 : 2
    11Kotov P.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    12ByeStruff J-L. (4)
    13Nardi L. (6)Nishikori K.0 : 2
    14Kukushkin M. (Q)Uchiyama Y. (Q)2 : 0
    15Tu L. (Q)Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    16ByeCobolli F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    2Smith C.Safiullin R. (7)2 : 0
    3Martinez P. (3)Moutet C.0 : 2
    4Hijikata R.Bublik A.1 : 2
    5Opelka R.Gaston H.0 : 2
    6Fonseca J.Struff J-L. (4)2 : 1
    7Nishikori K.Kukushkin M. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Spizzirri E.Cobolli F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Smith C.2 : 0
    2Moutet C.Bublik A.1 : 2
    3Gaston H.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    4Nishikori K.Cobolli F. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Borges N. (1)Bublik A.0 : 2
    2Fonseca J.Nishikori K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Bublik A.Fonseca J.0 : 2