Ballarat Miners vs Keilor Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 South Women Ballarat Miners - Keilor Thunder
Result
87:80
11/07/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South Women

Chances of winning


Ballarat Miners
38.3%
Keilor Thunder
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ballarat Miners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Keilor Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballarat Miners than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Ballarat Miners - Keilor Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.15)

    1.5
    (1.58)
    7.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 145.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 2.
    • Ballarat has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Keilor is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ballarat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Keilor might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Keilor will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 453:492. (average 75.5:82).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ballarat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 89:79.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ballarat Miners - Keilor Thunder were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners 93:70
    03.08.2024 Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners 99:75
    04.05.2024 Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners 72:90
    14.04.2023 Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners 64:54
    Latest results of Ballarat Miners
    Latest results of Keilor Thunder
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Keilor Thunder W (4)84 : 69
    4Frankston W (6)Diamond Valley W (7)81 : 87
    5Knox W (2)Dandenong Rangers W (3)65 : 62
    8Waverley W (5)Ringwood W (8)90 : 82

    Quarter-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Bye
    2Dandenong Rangers W (3)Diamond Valley W (7)73 : 82
    3Knox W (2)Bye
    4Keilor Thunder W (4)Waverley W (5)86 : 81

    Semi-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Diamond Valley W (7)80 : 72
    2Knox W (2)Keilor Thunder W (4)80 : 73

    Final
    1Geelong W (1)Knox W (2)