Ballarat Miners vs Keilor Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
72:116
25/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaNbl+

Chances of winning


Ballarat Miners
50.1%
Keilor Thunder
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ballarat Miners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballarat Miners's performance.
  • Keilor Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keilor Thunder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballarat Miners than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Ballarat Miners - Keilor Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.02)

    1.85
    (1.64)
    8.3%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 178.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 2.
    • Ballarat has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Keilor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ballarat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 501:492. (average 83.5:82).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ballarat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 147:157. (average 73.5:78.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ballarat Miners - Keilor Thunder were as follows:
    11.07.2025 Ballarat Miners - Keilor Thunder 79:69
    14.06.2025 Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners 77:66
    04.05.2024 Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners 83:113
    14.04.2023 Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners 95:92
    Latest results of Ballarat Miners
    Latest results of Keilor Thunder
    Australian NBL1 South Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Knox761687:6270.857
    2Melbourne Tigers651549:4800.833
    3Nunawading752695:6090.714
    4Eltham752615:5470.714
    5Frankston752674:6310.714
    6Dandenong642581:5260.667
    7Hobart Chargers642542:5410.667
    8Bendigo Braves532442:4490.600
    9Keilor Thunder633560:5260.500
    10Waverley633538:5160.500
    11Kilsyth633539:5360.500
    12Casey Cavaliers633579:5790.500
    13Sandringham Sabres624498:5090.333
    14Diamond Valley624538:5670.333
    15Mt Gambier624528:5850.333
    16Geelong514392:4460.200
    17Northern Tasmania615519:5970.167
    18Ringwood716605:6730.143
    19Ballarat716580:7170.143

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