Melbourne Tigers vs Keilor Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
80:91
06/06/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South Women

Chances of winning


Melbourne Tigers
44.7%
Keilor Thunder
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Tigers's form might have worsened.
  • Keilor Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keilor Thunder's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keilor Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.74)

    1.67
    (1.91)
    8.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Melbourne Tigers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Keilor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Keilor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 75:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Melbourne Tigers has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Keilor has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Tigers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 302:286. (average 75.5:71.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Tigers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 143:162. (average 71.5:81).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder were as follows:
    01.06.2024 Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder 70:77
    15.04.2023 Keilor Thunder - Melbourne Tigers 52:81
    Latest results of Melbourne Tigers
    Latest results of Keilor Thunder
    Australian NBL1 South Women Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Nunawading W330283:2311.000
    2Mt. Gambier W220193:1531.000
    3Sandringham W220146:1071.000
    4Kilsyth W220182:1511.000
    5Diamond Valley W220187:1691.000
    6Frankston W220160:1571.000
    7Bendigo Braves W211185:1620.500
    8Eltham W211163:1470.500
    9Ballarat W211171:1600.500
    10Waverley W211135:1260.500
    11Casey Cavaliers W211169:1610.500
    12Knox W211164:1610.500
    13Keilor Thunder W211123:1460.500
    14Northern Tasmania W202163:1810.000
    15Hobart Chargers W202143:1760.000
    16Melbourne Tigers W202132:1700.000
    17Dandenong Rangers W202122:1620.000
    18Ringwood W303238:2800.000
    19Geelong W202136:1950.000

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