Keisuke Saitoh vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
44

Chances of winning


Keisuke Saitoh
33.7%
Petr Nesterov
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 56.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keisuke Saitoh's form might have worsened.
  • Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keisuke Saitoh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Keisuke Saitoh - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.37)

    1.4
    (1.54)
    7.8%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Keisuke Saitoh - Petr Nesterov?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nesterov (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Saitoh is ranked ATP: 821. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 523.
    • Saitoh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nesterov is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Saitoh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nesterov might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Keisuke Saitoh
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Ovcharenko O. (1)Colombo A.2 : 0
    2Nolan W.Tessa L.0 : 2
    3Zhang T.Sahtali T.0 : 2
    4Hamza Reguig S.Borg L. (5)1 : 2
    5Barroso Campos A. (4)Nagoudi A.2 : 0
    6Oki Y.Andre S.2 : 0
    7Hahn J.Tepmahc N.0 : 2
    8Vankan M.Sciahbasi L. (RET.) (6)1 : 0
    9Kumstat J. (8)Shin M.2 : 0
    10Ogura K.Perez Contri S.0 : 2
    11Sakellaridis D.Plans J.2 : 0
    12Saitoh K.Nesterov P. (3)2 : 1
    13La Vela G. (7)Yamanaka T.2 : 1
    14Jadoun N.Corbinais S.1 : 2
    15Verbeek D.Brunkow G.0 : 2
    16Trifi A.Agafonov E. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ovcharenko O. (1)Tessa L.2 : 0
    2Sahtali T.Borg L. (5)2 : 1
    3Barroso Campos A. (4)Oki Y.1 : 2
    4Tepmahc N.Vankan M.0 : 2
    5Kumstat J. (8)Perez Contri S.2 : 0
    6Sakellaridis D.Saitoh K.2 : 0
    7La Vela G. (7)Corbinais S.2 : 0
    8Brunkow G.Agafonov E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ovcharenko O. (1)Sahtali T. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Oki Y.Vankan M.0 : 2
    3Kumstat J. (8)Sakellaridis D.0 : 2
    4La Vela G. (7)Brunkow G.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ovcharenko O. (1)Vankan M.0 : 2
    2Sakellaridis D.Brunkow G.2 : 0

    Final
    1Vankan M.Sakellaridis D.2 : 0