Hamilton Academical vs Kelty Hearts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 31

Match Stats

Yellow cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Pettifer A. , Murray I. (A),
  • 36', Davidson A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Shaw O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Cunningham R. , Moore L. (A),
  • 65', Kilday L. 🟨,
  • 73', Cunningham R. , Arnott A. ,
  • 82', McCarvel L. , Graham J. ,
  • 82', Murray I. , Cooper C. ,
  • 88', Bradley S. , Cameron F. ,
  • 90', MacDonald K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Hutton Z. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Davidson A. , Wyllie J. ,
  • 90+4', Corr D. , Thomas M. ,

Chances of winning


Hamilton Academical
51%
Draw
26.8%
Kelty Hearts
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.3% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.6% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamilton Academical that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.92)
    3.43
    (3.33)
    4.17
    (3.58)
    8.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamilton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Hamilton Academical will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 3.
    • Hamilton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kelty Hearts is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Hamilton is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamilton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts were as follows:
    31.01.2026 Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical 0:0
    22.11.2025 Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts 3:1
    20.09.2025 Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical 0:4
    06.07.2024 Kelty Hearts - Hamilton Academical 2:1
    04.05.2024 Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts 4:1
    Latest results of Hamilton Academical
    Latest results of Kelty Hearts
    Scottish League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inverness331910456:223462
    2Stenhousemuir331613447:252261
    3Alloa331481147:331450
    4Queen of South3313101051:43849
    5Peterhead331261546:58-1242
    6Montrose331181446:61-1541
    7East Fife33971733:58-2534
    8Cove Rangers337101637:44-731
    9Hamilton331471248:39928
    10Kelty Hearts335111731:59-2826

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion: )
          League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two