Result
1:2 penalties
22/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- African Nations Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 5, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 9 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1 |
 Kenya | KBC Channel 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Madagascar | MATV |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Republic-of-the-congo | Tele Congo |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 South-africa | SABC Plus, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Uganda | UBC TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (416/511) | 78% (364/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (416/511) | 78% (364/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/71) | 40% (27/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (73/131) | 50% (44/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (10/47) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 86% (18/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ranaivoson J. ↓, Rakotondraibe T. ↑,
- 46', Andrianarimanana A. ↓, Rakotondrajoa A. ↑,
- 47', Rabearivelo B. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 0, Omija A. ⚽, Muchiri B. (A),
- 69', 1 - 1, Razafimaro F. (Pen),
- 70', Muchiri B. ↓, Omondi E. ↑,
- 70', Ogam R. ↓, Odongo A. ↑,
- 71', Rakotondraibe T. 🟨,
- 83', Omondi B. S. ↓, Siraj M. ↑,
- 83', Okwaro M. ↓, Juma M. ↑,
- 85', Razafimahatana M. ↓, Rajaonarivelo R. ↑,
- 90', Esambe Bandi L. ↓, Sakari D. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 95', Randrianirina H. 🟨,
- 105+1', Rabemananjara R. 🟨,
- 117', Onyango A. ↓, Owino S. ↑,
- 119', Randriamanampisoa N. ↓, Rakotoson M. ↑,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Randriamanampisoa N. (Pen),
- 1, Siraj M. (Pen),
- 2, Randrianirina H. (Pen),
- 2, Sakari D. (Pen),
- 3, Rafanomezantsoa L. C. (Pen),
- 3, Owino S. (Pen),
- 4, Razafimaro F. (Pen),
- 4, Kibwage M. (Pen),
- 5, Rakotondraibe T. (Pen),
- 5, Omija A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Kenya
48% | Draw
32.6% | Madagascar
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kenya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Kenya - Madagascar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.91) |
2.85 ↓
(3.09) |
4.81 ↑
(4.29) |
7.4%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Kenya - Madagascar?
Users Predictions:
Kenya will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Madagascar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kenya is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Kenya will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kenya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Kenya won against Madagascar?
Kenya has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Madagascar won against Kenya?
Madagascar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kenya - Madagascar were as follows:
Latest results of Madagascar
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals| 1 | Kenya (A1) | Madagascar (B2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sudan (D1) | Algeria (C2) | |
| 3 | Tanzania (B1) | Morocco (A2) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Uganda (C1) | Senegal (D2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal3rd place
