Result
5:2
12/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mestis
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 8.33% (2/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.67% (22/24) | 83.33% (20/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (3/3) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 07:49, 0 - 1, Hahl V. (G), Ohtonen J. (A), Cederberg E. (A2)
- 14:04, 0 - 2, Rautiainen J. (G), Takala E. (A), Heinonen O. (A2)
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 10:19, 1 - 2, Linjala M. (G), Lehmus J. (A), Lehtonen W. (A2)
- 13:25, 2 - 2, Wolin A. (G), Dobos M. B. (A), Lehtonen W. (A2)
- 17:32, 3 - 2, Dobos M. B. (G), Wolin A. (A), Jarvenpaa M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 02:56, 4 - 2, Jarvenpaa M. (G), Lehtonen W. (A), Krook A. (A2)
- 17:45, 5 - 2, Tuupanen T. (G),
Chances of winning
KeuPa 31.2% | Draw 22% | Hermes Kokkola 46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KeuPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Hermes Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↓ (3.04) |
4.14 ↓ (4.16) |
1.95 ↓ (1.97) |
9.9% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - KeuPa (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KeuPa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 2.
- Recent performances by KeuPa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hermes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Hermes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hermes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KeuPa won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 57:78. (average 2.9:3.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, KeuPa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 2.9:3.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KeuPa won against Hermes Kokkola?
KeuPa has won 6 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hermes Kokkola won against KeuPa?
Hermes Kokkola has won 11 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KeuPa - Hermes Kokkola were as follows:
17.01.2026
Hermes Kokkola
-
KeuPa
4:1
06.01.2026
Hermes Kokkola
-
KeuPa
3:2
10.10.2025
KeuPa
-
Hermes Kokkola
4:7
01.10.2025
Hermes Kokkola
-
KeuPa
4:7
18.01.2025
Hermes Kokkola
-
KeuPa
0:2
Latest results of Hermes Kokkola
Finnish Mestis Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Jokerit ✔ | 46 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 163:90 | 100 |
| 2 | IPK ✔ | 45 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 159:135 | 80 |
| 3 | K-Vantaa ✔ | 46 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 142:135 | 75 |
| 4 | Kettera ✔ | 45 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 139:132 | 70 |
| 5 | RoKi ✔ | 46 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 145:146 | 69 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Pojat | 45 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 142:148 | 64 |
| 7 | TUTO | 45 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 127:126 | 62 |
| 8 | Hermes | 45 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 138:161 | 60 |
| 9 | Pyry | 45 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 127:166 | 52 |
| 10 | KeuPa ✔ | 46 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 126:169 | 49 |
Promotion ~ Mestis (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Mestis (Relegation)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jokerit is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
K-Vantaa is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Kettera is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
RoKi is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
KeuPa is Mestis (Relegation)