Kiekko-Espoo vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
11/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Auroraliiga Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 15:51, 1 - 0, Nuutinen E. (G), Montonen A. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:00, 2 - 0, Valkjarvi R. (G), Nuutinen E. (A), Katajamaki N. (A2)
  • 18:18, 2 - 1, Antti-Roiko A. (G), Suoranta E. (A),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 3)
  • 10:29, 3 - 1, Nuutinen E. (G), Montonen A. (A), Rantamaki K. (A2)
  • 14:34, 3 - 2, Varpula E. (G), Suoranta E. (A), Lehtiniemi J. (A2)
  • 15:56, 4 - 2, Taks L. (G), Montonen A. (A), Nuutinen E. (A2)
  • 18:14, 4 - 3, Melotindos L. (G), Kuusisto J. (A), Suoranta E. (A2)
  • 19:06, 5 - 3, Montonen A. (G), Rantamaki K. (A),
  • 19:38, 5 - 4, Suoranta E. (G), Ekoluoma E. (A),

Chances of winning


Kiekko-Espoo
61.1%
Draw
17.8%
Ilves
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 17.6% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 19.2% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiekko-Espoo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.5)
    5.13
    (5.1)
    4.3
    (3.95)
    9.9%
    (11.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 5.
    • Kiekko-Espoo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ilves has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kiekko-Espoo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 85:35. (average 4.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:18. (average 3.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves 4:3
    15.02.2026 Ilves - Kiekko-Espoo 1:4
    01.11.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves 4:3
    12.09.2025 Ilves - Kiekko-Espoo 2:4
    09.03.2025 Ilves - Kiekko-Espoo 2:3
    Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
    01.03.2026 KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo 1:9
    22.02.2026 Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves 4:3
    15.02.2026 Ilves - Kiekko-Espoo 1:4
    14.02.2026 Kuortane - Kiekko-Espoo 3:2
    01.02.2026 Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa 5:0
    Latest results of Ilves
    04.03.2026 Kuortane - Ilves 2:5
    01.03.2026 Ilves - Kuortane 4:1
    22.02.2026 Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves 4:3
    15.02.2026 Ilves - Kiekko-Espoo 1:4
    23.01.2026 HIFK - Ilves 4:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hameenlinna W (2)Karpat W (7)3 : 1
    2IFK Helsinki W (3)TPS W (6)3 : 1
    3Kiekko-Espoo W (1)KalPa W (8)3 : 0
    4Kuortane W (4)Ilves W (5)0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Hameenlinna W (2)IFK Helsinki W (3)0 : 1
    2Kiekko-Espoo W (1)Ilves W (5)1 : 0