Result
2:3 OT
18/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 3.64 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 27 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (2/12) | 8.82% (3/34) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 10 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.18% (31/34) | 83.33% (10/12) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 39 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 41.79 | 58.21 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 03:39, 1 - 0, Hamalainen J. (G), Tuomaala A. (A), Aronsson A. (A2)
- 03:57, 2 - 0, Kangasniemi I. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Hillis C. (A2)
- 07:37, Jurmo J. (2 min),
- 11:00, Laakso A. (2 min),
- 12:53, 2 - 1, Gelinas E. (G), Viitasalo N. (A), Tuuva L. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 10:49, Peters A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 08:43, Joki A. (2 min),
- 08:43, Keskitalo M. (2 min),
- 10:49, Stevens J. (2 min),
- 10:49, Saarela A. (2 min),
- 18:32, 2 - 2, Westerholm Po. (G), Saarela A. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 02:11, 2 - 3, Gelinas E. (G), Morand A. (A), Intonen A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
36.8% | Draw
24.4% | Lukko
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.85) |
3.79 ↓
(4.04) |
2.46 ↑
(2.12) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2.
- Kiekko-Espoo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lukko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 2.5:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 2.3:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Lukko?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Lukko has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko were as follows:
27.09.2025
Lukko
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:2
26.09.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Lukko
4:2
22.01.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Lukko
2:4
03.01.2025
Lukko
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:2
07.12.2024
Lukko
-
Kiekko-Espoo
1:4
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
