Result
3:4
09/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.81 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 18.75% (3/16) | 14.81% (4/27) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.19% (23/27) | 81.25% (13/16) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50.82 | 49.18 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 06:16, 0 - 1, Harma M. (G), Straka A. (A),
- 16:05, 1 - 1, Quenneville P. (G), Tuomaala A. (A), Kulonummi K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 00:10, Hamalainen J. (2 min),
- 00:24, 1 - 2, Stalberg S. (G), Hjalmarsson S. (A), Koivisto M. (A2)
- 08:45, 2 - 2, Stevens J. (G), Hillis C. (A), Laakso A. (A2)
- 15:27, 2 - 3, Timonen S. (G), Hjalmarsson S. (A), Claesson L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:30, 2 - 4, Harma M. (G), Tiihonen M. (A), Johnsson T. (A2)
- 02:29, Hietanen V. (2 min),
- 02:29, Kulonummi K. (2 min),
- 15:13, 3 - 4, Puolanne E. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Leppanen O. (A2)
- 15:39, Bertrand C. (2 min),
- 16:35, Sallinen T. (2 min),
- 19:45, Claesson L. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
49.2% | Draw
23.1% | Vaasan Sport
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Kiekko-Espoo - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.81) |
4.08 ↓
(4.3) |
3.38 ↓
(3.4) |
6.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Kiekko-Espoo - Vaasan Sport?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kiekko-Espoo: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kiekko-Espoo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- Kiekko-Espoo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vaasa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vaasa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kiekko-Espoo could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Kiekko-Espoo will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Vaasan Sport?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Vaasan Sport has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
14.03.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:2
14.02.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
Kiekko-Espoo
1:3
08.01.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Vaasan Sport
2:3
29.10.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Vaasan Sport
3:1
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
