Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Amagaju
26.5% | Draw
32.8% | Kigali
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amagaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amagaju's form might have worsened.Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kigali's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amagaju than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amagaju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kigali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amagaju - Kigali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2.74) |
2.77 ↑
(2.64) |
2.23 ↓
(2.72) |
10.2%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 2.
- Recent form of Amagaju has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kigali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Amagaju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amagaju won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Amagaju won against Kigali?
Amagaju has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Amagaju?
Kigali has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amagaju - Kigali were as follows:
14.09.2025
Kigali
-
Amagaju
1:2
19.04.2025
Kigali
-
Amagaju
2:1
24.11.2024
Amagaju
-
Kigali
1:2
10.02.2024
Amagaju
-
Kigali
2:1
01.10.2023
Kigali
-
Amagaju
1:1
Latest results of Amagaju
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 50:16 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
