Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Amagaju
26.5% | Draw
32.8% | Kigali
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amagaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amagaju's form might have worsened.Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kigali's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amagaju than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amagaju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kigali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amagaju - Kigali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2.74) |
2.77 ↑
(2.64) |
2.23 ↓
(2.72) |
10.2%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 2.
- Recent form of Amagaju has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kigali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Amagaju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Amagaju won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amagaju won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Amagaju won against Kigali?
Amagaju has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Amagaju?
Kigali has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amagaju - Kigali were as follows:
14.09.2025
Kigali
-
Amagaju
1:2
19.04.2025
Kigali
-
Amagaju
2:1
24.11.2024
Amagaju
-
Kigali
1:2
10.02.2024
Amagaju
-
Kigali
2:1
01.10.2023
Kigali
-
Amagaju
1:1
Latest results of Amagaju
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | APR | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 36:19 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Marines | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Musanze | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 26 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 14:32 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 21 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:36 | -19 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
