Kigali vs Bugesera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
19/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Kigali
40.4%
Draw
32.6%
Bugesera
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 31.3% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 30.4% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Kigali - Bugesera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.13)
    2.77
    (2.89)
    3.34
    (3.46)
    10.7%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kigali will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 1.4:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 1.9:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kigali - Bugesera were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Kigali - Bugesera 1:0
    07.12.2024 Bugesera - Kigali 1:2
    13.01.2024 Bugesera - Kigali 0:0
    21.08.2023 Kigali - Bugesera 1:0
    28.05.2023 Bugesera - Kigali 2:1
    Latest results of Kigali
    13.12.2025 Muhanga - Kigali 0:0
    07.12.2025 Al-Merreikh - Kigali 2:1
    28.11.2025 Kigali - APR 1:1
    23.11.2025 Rayon Sports - Kigali 0:2
    07.11.2025 Kigali - Police 0:0
    Latest results of Bugesera
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman20133445:162942
    2APR22119230:171342
    3Al-Merreikh21118224:141041
    4Police22910320:11937
    5Rayon Sport22107527:24337
    6Mukura Victory Sports2297624:21334
    7Kiyovu2189421:12933
    8Musanze2296731:23833
    9Marines2184925:24128
    10Bugesera2167820:22-225
    11Gicumbi2267926:33-725
    12Gasogi United2267917:26-925
    13AS Kigali2258915:21-623
    14Gorilla22571015:25-1022
    15Etincelles22310916:25-919
    16Rutsiro21461124:33-918
    17Amagaju2246129:27-1818
    18Muhanga21451213:28-1517

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation