Kimberley de Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
229
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
142
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 67', 0 - 1, ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kimberley de Mar del Plata
59.6%
Draw
27.2%
Argentino Monte Maíz
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 31.2% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 32.3% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kimberley de Mar del Plata's performance.
  • Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino Monte Maíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kimberley de Mar del Plata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino Monte Maíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (2.12)
    3.37
    (2.88)
    6.9
    (3.4)
    9.2%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Kimberley (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Kimberley (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Kimberley (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Kimberley (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kimberley de Mar del Plata will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kimberley de Mar del Plata will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kimberley (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Kimberley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Argentino MM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kimberley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kimberley is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kimberley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Kimberley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz 2:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
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