Kimberley de Mar del Plata vs Argentino Monte Maíz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
229
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
142
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 67', 0 - 1, ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kimberley de Mar del Plata
59.6%
Draw
27.2%
Argentino Monte Maíz
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 31.2% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 32.3% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kimberley de Mar del Plata's performance.
  • Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino Monte Maíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kimberley de Mar del Plata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino Monte Maíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (2.12)
    3.37
    (2.88)
    6.9
    (3.4)
    9.2%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Kimberley (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Kimberley (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Kimberley (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Kimberley (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kimberley de Mar del Plata will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kimberley de Mar del Plata will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kimberley (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Kimberley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Argentino MM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kimberley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kimberley is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kimberley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Kimberley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Argentino Monte Maíz 2:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas53117:3410
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35
    9Fundacion Amigos50234:10-62


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

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