Kimberly Birrell vs Mai Hontama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Osaka Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama
Result
2:0
12/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Osaka - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
46
1st Serve Percentage
62%54%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (29/45)49% (24/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)41% (17/41)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)68% (15/22)
1st Return Points Won
53% (26/49)44% (20/45)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (24/41)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
32% (7/22)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
57% (40/70)44% (40/90)
Return Points Won
56% (50/90)43% (30/70)
Total Points Won
56% (90/160)44% (70/160)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)30% (3/10)
Return Games Won
70% (7/10)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Kimberly Birrell
68.3%
Mai Hontama
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kimberly Birrell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kimberly Birrell's performance.
  • Mai Hontama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mai Hontama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberly Birrell than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kimberly Birrell that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mai Hontama than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mai Hontama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.68)

    2.97
    (2.12)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama?
  • Users Predictions: Kimberly Birrell will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Birrell is ranked WTA: 89. Hontama is ranked WTA: 219.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hontama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Birrell might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Birrell won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama were as follows:
    30.04.2024 Mai Hontama - Kimberly Birrell 2:1
    14.08.2023 Mai Hontama - Kimberly Birrell 2:1
    07.10.2022 Kimberly Birrell - Mai Hontama 2:0
    Latest results of Kimberly Birrell
    Latest results of Mai Hontama
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Sonobe W. (WC)2 : 0
    2Lamens S.Arango E.2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Cocciaretto E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Volynets K. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (3)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    6Valentova T. (Q)Eala A.2 : 0
    7Sakkari M.Krueger A.1 : 2
    8Hibino N. (WC)Danilovic O. (6)1 : 2
    9Li A. (7)Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    10Garland J. (Q)Sramkova R.0 : 2
    11Galfi D. (Q)Parks A.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    13Bouzkova M. (5)Shibahara E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Golubic V.Andreescu B.2 : 1
    15Cirstea S.Uchijima M. (WC)2 : 1
    16Boulter K.Noskova L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Lamens S.2 : 1
    2Cristian J.Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)2 : 1
    3Mertens E. (3)Valentova T.0 : 2
    4Krueger A.Danilovic O. (6)0 : 2
    5Li A. (7)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    6Galfi D.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    7Bouzkova M. (5)Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Cirstea S.Boulter K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Cristian J. (WO.)
    2Valentova T.Danilovic O. (6)2 : 1
    3Sramkova R.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    4Golubic V.Cirstea S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cristian J.Valentova T.1 : 2
    2Fernandez L. (4)Cirstea S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Valentova T.Fernandez L. (4)1 : 2