Result
0:1
15/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 4
- Referee: Rusz M. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (449/511) | 68% (158/233) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (449/511) | 68% (158/233) |
| Long passes |
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| 61% (25/41) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 82% (170/208) | 45% (38/84) |
| Crosses |
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| 0% (0/30) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 33 | 44 |
| Clearances |
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| 30 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
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| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.24 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.76 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Popoola R. 🟨,
- 43', Molnar G. ↓, Pinter F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Vlijter G. ↓, Brodic F. ↑,
- 55', Bese B. ↓, Ljujic M. ↑,
- 65', Brodic F. 🟨,
- 65', Chlumecky M. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 1, Novothny S. ⚽, Cipetic B. (A),
- 72', Ademi A. 🟨,
- 74', Goncalves T. ↓, Tucic M. ↑,
- 74', Matko A. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
- 74', Nunes J. ↓, Lacoux T. ↑,
- 77', Mesanovic J. ↓, Matanovic M. ↑,
- 77', Cipetic B. ↓, Jovicic A. ↑,
- 84', Novothny S. ↓, Gyurko M. ↑,
- 84', Biro B. ↓, Nagy K. ↑,
- 90+5', Gyurko M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Horvath K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ujpest
51.5% | Draw
25.1% | Kisvárda
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ujpest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ujpest's form might have worsened.Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ujpest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Ujpest - Kisvárda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.62) |
3.71 ↓
(4.3) |
4.03 ↓
(4.35) |
7.4%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ujpest - Kisvárda?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ujpest will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Kisvárda will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ujpest: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ujpest (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 1.
- Ujpest has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kisvárda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Ujpest is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ujpest won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ujpest won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ujpest won against Kisvárda?
Ujpest has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kisvárda won against Ujpest?
Kisvárda has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ujpest - Kisvárda were as follows:
13.04.2024
Kisvárda
-
Ujpest
4:1
16.12.2023
Kisvárda
-
Ujpest
4:0
01.09.2023
Ujpest
-
Kisvárda
3:2
14.05.2023
Kisvárda
-
Ujpest
2:0
17.02.2023
Kisvárda
-
Ujpest
2:1
Latest results of Kisvárda
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Paks | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Kisvarda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 6 | Gyor | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8:8 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | DVTK | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
