KK Split vs Ilirija – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
107:112 OT
03/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Arsenijevic R. (Srb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8474
Field goals made
3938
Field goals %
46.43%51.35%
2-point field goals attempts
4040
2-point field goals made
2424
2-point field goals %
60%60%
3-point field goals attempts
4434
3-point field goals made
1514
3-point field goals %
34.09%41.18%
Free throws attempts
1932
Free throws made
1422
Free throws %
73.7%68.8%
Offensive rebounds
139
Defensive rebounds
2727
Total rebounds
4036
Assists
2227
Blocks
36
Turnovers
710
Steals
51
Personal fouls
2619

Highlights

Chances of winning


KK Split
74%
Ilirija
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KK Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KK Split's performance.
  • Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilirija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KK Split that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilirija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KK Split - Ilirija Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.53)

    3.63
    (2.37)
    5.9%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    What is the prediction for KK Split - Ilirija?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Split will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ilirija will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilirija (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -6.5 - Split (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -12.5, OT - Ilirija (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 172.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 170.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Split (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ilirija (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ ABA League 2 and 17 in the zone AdmiralBet ABA League (Relegation)).
    • Split is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ilirija has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Split may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Split has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Split is a strong favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of KK Split
    21.02.2026 KK Split - KK Zadar 89:86
    20.02.2026 KK Split - Cibona 94:73
    18.02.2026 KK Split - Omiš 98:55
    12.02.2026 GKK Šibenka - KK Split 55:93
    07.02.2026 KK Split - Dubrava 88:87
    Latest results of Ilirija
    16.02.2026 Cedevita Olimpija - Ilirija 115:81
    10.02.2026 Ilirija - Polzela 93:91
    07.02.2026 Bosna - Ilirija 78:93
    04.02.2026 Ilirija - Rogaška 87:89
    01.02.2026 Ilirija - Cedevita Olimpija 96:93
    Adriatic League Table
    Losers stage
    PlWLPts
    9Spartak Subotica18991483:149027
    10Zadar197121556:156926
    11FMP Beograd197121601:165526
    12KK Krka Novo mesto197121491:155026
    13Perspektiva Ilirija197121587:167526
    14Borac Mozzart187111422:149825
    15Mega Basket187111547:166325
    16Vienna Basket185131514:162223
    17Studentski Centar184141417:150222
    18Split184141512:169722

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