Stal Stalowa Wola vs KKS Kalisz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandTVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
95
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
155
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
95
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 🟨,
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Kendzia J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Stalowa Wola
62.3%
Draw
22.9%
KKS Kalisz
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 25% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 24.3% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Stalowa Wola's performance.
  • KKS Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KKS Kalisz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stal Stalowa Wola that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KKS Kalisz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stal Stalowa Wola - KKS Kalisz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.72)
    4.06
    (3.63)
    6.24
    (4.1)
    7.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Stalowa Wola - KKS Kalisz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola (votes: 1 - 50%). KKS Kalisz (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Stal Stalowa Wola will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • KKS Kalisz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, KKS Kalisz has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Stal Stalowa Wola is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Stal Stalowa Wola will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Stalowa Wola - KKS Kalisz were as follows:
    01.06.2024 KKS Kalisz - Stal Stalowa Wola 1:2
    17.03.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - KKS Kalisz 0:1
    02.09.2023 KKS Kalisz - Stal Stalowa Wola 1:0
    Latest results of KKS Kalisz
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice20142441:221944
    2Ol. Grudziadz21117341:281340
    3Warta Poznan20116334:231139
    4Podhale Nowy Targ2199325:17836
    5Swit Szczecin2095639:35432
    6Sandecja Nowy S2086631:28330
    7Podbeskidzie2185835:33229
    8R. Rzeszow2177728:26228
    9S. Wola2069538:31727
    10Slask Wroclaw II2176837:35227
    11Chojniczanka2067732:31125
    12Kleczew2066835:33224
    13Hutnik Krakow2166931:32-124
    14Bielsko-Biala2066828:35-724
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec2065923:33-1023
    16KKS Kalisz2047921:31-1019
    17LKS Lodz II20281021:37-1614
    18GKS Jastrzebie20071316:46-307

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