TPS vs Klubi 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Ykkosliiga TPS - Klubi 04
Result
4:1
09/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ykkosliiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
75
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
15
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1915
Fouls
1219
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Kawakita E. , Kauppila M. (A),
  • 12', 2 - 0, Kauppila M. , Dahlfors O. (A),
  • 27', 3 - 0, Riski Ri. (Pen),
  • 28', Pippola T. , Pohtio V. ,
  • 42', 3 - 1, Ingman E. , Le Goff-Conan A. (A),
  • 45', Lietsa J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nylund A. , Palmula L. ,
  • 53', Hannula O. 🟨,
  • 64', Mero T. , Hyvonen M. ,
  • 65', Ingman E. , Rippon L. ,
  • 65', Lietsa J. , Traore A. ,
  • 68', Ikonen L. 🟨,
  • 72', 4 - 1, Dahlfors O. , Pohtio V. (A),
  • 80', Soiniemi A. , Tuominen E. ,
  • 83', Baranov S. (Pen),
  • 86', Le Goff-Conan A. 🟨,
  • 90', Riski Ri. , Rajamaki N. ,

Chances of winning


TPS
54.1%
Draw
21.2%
Klubi 04
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 19.6% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 18.8% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that TPS's form might have worsened.
  • Klubi 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Klubi 04, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • TPS - Klubi 04 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.54)
    4.33
    (4.73)
    3.72
    (4.57)
    9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for TPS - Klubi 04?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Klubi 04 will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for TPS: 74.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): TPS will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Promotion: ) and 4)
    • TPS is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Klubi 04 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, TPS is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Klubi 04 were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Klubi 04 - TPS 3:1
    Latest results of TPS
    03.07.2025 KaPa - TPS 4:2
    27.06.2025 TPS - JäPS 4:2
    19.06.2025 JIPPO - TPS 1:2
    13.06.2025 TPS - SJK Akatemia 3:2
    06.06.2025 PK-35 Vantaa - TPS 2:3
    Latest results of Klubi 04
    05.07.2025 Klubi 04 - Ekenäs 2:2
    24.06.2025 Klubi 04 - HJK 0:4
    19.06.2025 Lahti - Klubi 04 2:1
    13.06.2025 JäPS - Klubi 04 2:0
    11.06.2025 Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn 4:3
    Finnish Ykkosliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TPS18132349:301941
    2Lahti18124235:201540
    3Ekenas1893634:26830
    4Klubi 041885538:30829
    5PK-351877428:20826
    6JIPPO1858526:25123
    7JaPS1856731:41-1021
    8SJK Akatemia18531032:33-118
    9KaPa18251126:50-2411
    10SalPa18131413:37-246

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga
          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Promotion: )
          Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Ykkonen