Erokspor vs Kocaelispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Erokspor - Kocaelispor
Result
3:1
20/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 35
  • Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.96
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
610
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
80% (316/393)81% (296/367)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.601.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.88
Total shots
817
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1226
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
80% (316/393)81% (296/367)
Long passes
42% (31/73)55% (35/64)
Passes in final third
63% (53/84)66% (78/119)
Crosses
42% (5/12)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.13
Fouls
1310
Tackles
71% (10/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3744
Clearances Total
2120
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
93
xGOT faced
1.882.47
Goals prevented
0.65-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Kayode O. , Orak F. (A),
  • 15', Rivas R. , Alici B. ,
  • 27', Korkmazoglu E. 🟨,
  • 31', Oguz A. 🟨,
  • 38', Kilicarslan E. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Caglayan O. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Vukovic J. , Celik C. ,
  • 58', Orak F. 🟨,
  • 66', Karaman A. , Oscar Pinchi ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Oscar Pinchi , Orak F. (A),
  • 80', Yalcin S. , Gedik F. ,
  • 80', Cinan M. , Gedik E. ,
  • 81', Oguz A. , Oztonga O. ,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Fernandes J. ,
  • 88', Fernandes J. , Furat E. I. ,
  • 88', Kayode O. , Catakovic H. ,
  • 90+2', Mert M. , Yasar A. ,
  • 90+2', Kacar T. , Laine J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erokspor
31.3%
Draw
27%
Kocaelispor
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 26% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8% 27.3% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.
  • Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erokspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Erokspor - Kocaelispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (4.28)
    3.47
    (3.59)
    2.24
    (1.78)
    7.2%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Erokspor - Kocaelispor?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Kocaelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Kocaelispor will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Erokspor: Faye M. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Erokspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Kocaelispor - Erokspor 0:2
    Latest results of Erokspor
    14.04.2025 Umraniyespor - Erokspor 1:1
    05.04.2025 Çorum - Erokspor 3:3
    31.03.2025 Erokspor - Ankaragücü 3:1
    14.03.2025 Şanlıurfaspor - Erokspor 0:2
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erokspor961227:111619
    2Corum953115:8718
    3Bodrumspor852119:81117
    4Pendikspor843115:8715
    5Erzurumspor835015:8714
    6Igdir FK842214:11314
    7Amedspor841319:13613
    8Boluspor933315:13212
    9Vanspor FK83328:6212
    10Serik Spor83328:12-412
    11Bandirmaspor832312:10211
    12Istanbulspor AS825110:9111
    13Keciorengucu82429:8110
    14Sivasspor823310:919
    15Sakaryaspor823310:16-69
    16Manisa FK922513:19-68
    17Umraniyespor82245:11-68
    18Sariyer81166:12-64
    19Hatayspor80359:20-113
    20Adana Demirspor80174:31-27-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation