Result
3:1
20/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 35
- Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/393) | 81% (296/367) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/393) | 81% (296/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 55% (35/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (53/84) | 66% (78/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Kayode O. ⚽, Orak F. (A),
- 15', Rivas R. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
- 27', Korkmazoglu E. 🟨,
- 31', Oguz A. 🟨,
- 38', Kilicarslan E. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Caglayan O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Vukovic J. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
- 58', Orak F. 🟨,
- 66', Karaman A. ↓, Oscar Pinchi ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Oscar Pinchi ⚽, Orak F. (A),
- 80', Yalcin S. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
- 80', Cinan M. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
- 81', Oguz A. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Fernandes J. ⚽,
- 88', Fernandes J. ↓, Furat E. I. ↑,
- 88', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 90+2', Mert M. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
- 90+2', Kacar T. ↓, Laine J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erokspor
31.3% | Draw
27% | Kocaelispor
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erokspor's performance.Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erokspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Erokspor - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↓
(4.28) |
3.47 ↓
(3.59) |
2.24 ↑
(1.78) |
7.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erokspor - Kocaelispor?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Erokspor (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Erokspor (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Erokspor (5.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Erokspor (5.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Erokspor (5.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Erokspor (5.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Erokspor (3.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Erokspor (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Erokspor (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Erokspor (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Erokspor (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Erokspor (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Kocaelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Kocaelispor will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Erokspor: Faye M.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Erokspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Kocaelispor?
Erokspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Erokspor?
Kocaelispor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
15.12.2024
Kocaelispor
-
Erokspor
0:2
Latest results of Erokspor
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
