Result
3:1
23/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 1
- Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Turkey | A Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Churlinov D. ⚽, Rivas R. (A),
- 45', 2 - 0, Churlinov D. ⚽, Petkovic B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Erdem E. 🟨,
- 53', 3 - 0, Nonge J. ⚽, Churlinov D. (A),
- 59', Keser B. ↓, Fettahoglu M. ↑,
- 59', Akgun S. ↓, Baiye B. ↑,
- 61', Churlinov D. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
- 61', Keita H. ↓, Linetty K. ↑,
- 68', Kirtay Y. ↓, Ovacikli O. ↑,
- 71', Petkovic B. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
- 71', Nonge J. ↓, Bilim E. ↑,
- 76', Balogh B. 🟨,
- 78', Gerxhaliu A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 78', Karaoglan Y. ↓, Tozlu E. ↑,
- 83', Balogh B. ↓, Oguz A. ↑,
- 85', Linetty K. 🟨,
- 88', 3 - 1, Baiye B. ⚽, Ulgen A. (A),
Chances of winning
Kocaelispor
67.9% | Draw
20.2% | Erzurumspor
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erzurumspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kocaelispor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erzurumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.69) |
4.63 ↑
(3.8) |
7.9 ↑
(4.25) |
7.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Kocaelispor (1.67) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kocaelispor will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kocaelispor will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 1.
- Kocaelispor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Erzurumspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Erzurumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kocaelispor is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Kocaelispor will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Erzurumspor?
Kocaelispor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Kocaelispor?
Erzurumspor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
01.02.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Kocaelispor
1:1
23.08.2024
Kocaelispor
-
Erzurumspor
1:0
02.03.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Kocaelispor
0:0
06.10.2023
Kocaelispor
-
Erzurumspor
1:1
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
