Kocaelispor vs Erzurumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
23/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 1
  • Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
turkeyTurkeyA Spor

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
36
Free Kicks
1519
Throw-ins
1914

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Churlinov D. , Rivas R. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Churlinov D. , Petkovic B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Erdem E. 🟨,
  • 53', 3 - 0, Nonge J. , Churlinov D. (A),
  • 59', Keser B. , Fettahoglu M. ,
  • 59', Akgun S. , Baiye B. ,
  • 61', Churlinov D. , Gedik F. ,
  • 61', Keita H. , Linetty K. ,
  • 68', Kirtay Y. , Ovacikli O. ,
  • 71', Petkovic B. , Agyei D. ,
  • 71', Nonge J. , Bilim E. ,
  • 76', Balogh B. 🟨,
  • 78', Gerxhaliu A. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 78', Karaoglan Y. , Tozlu E. ,
  • 83', Balogh B. , Oguz A. ,
  • 85', Linetty K. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Baiye B. , Ulgen A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
67.9%
Draw
20.2%
Erzurumspor
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 24.1% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 23.3% 20.9%

Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.37
(1.69)
4.63
(3.8)
7.9
(4.25)
7.5%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Kocaelispor (1.67) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kocaelispor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 1.
    • Kocaelispor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Erzurumspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Erzurumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kocaelispor is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Kocaelispor will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor 1:1
    23.08.2024 Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor 1:0
    02.03.2024 Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor 0:0
    06.10.2023 Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor 1:1
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    14.12.2025 Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor 2:2
    07.12.2025 Boluspor - Erzurumspor 2:0
    23.11.2025 Igdirspor - Erzurumspor 2:1
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray22003:126
    2Alanyaspor21103:214
    3Trabzonspor21016:243
    4Basaksehir21012:203
    5Karagumruk20202:202
    6Fethiyespor20111:2-11
    7Boluspor20111:2-11
    8Istanbulspor AS20111:6-51


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor22008:356
    2Genclerbirligi22004:226
    3Konyaspor22003:126
    4Eyupspor21013:303
    5Igdir FK20113:4-11
    6Aliaga20114:8-41
    7Bodrumspor20023:5-20
    8Antalyaspor20020:2-20


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas22005:146
    2Rizespor21015:413
    3Kocaelispor21013:213
    4Erzurumspor21013:303
    5Fenerbahce21012:203
    6Keciorengucu21013:4-13
    7Gaziantep21013:5-23
    8Beyoglu Yeni Carsi20021:4-30


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Konyaspor22003:126
    2Trabzonspor21016:243
    3Kocaelispor21013:213

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