Umraniyespor vs Kocaelispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor
Result
1:1
06/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 28
  • Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.601.71
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1120
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
59
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
711
Shots inside the Box
415
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Free Kicks
1313
Offsides
00
Fouls
1313
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2024
Touches in the Opposition Box
929
Passes
82% (353/430)78% (292/375)
Passes in the final third
74% (92/124)65% (85/131)
Crosses
4% (1/24)32% (8/25)
Tackles
77% (10/13)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
4520
Interceptions
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Hoti E. 🟨,
  • 30', Caglayan O. (Pen),
  • 34', Oguz A. 🟨,
  • 38', Appindangoye A. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Soukou C. , Benny (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Cinan M. , Gedik E. ,
  • 59', Yalcin S. , Celik C. ,
  • 59', Rivas R. , Serbest T. ,
  • 60', Oguz A. 🟨,
  • 67', Vukovic J. , Oztonga O. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Celik C. , Serbest T. (A),
  • 72', Yildirim O. , Bulbul A. T. ,
  • 72', Hoti E. , Bardhi J. ,
  • 75', Marcao , Tunali M. ,
  • 76', Tunali M. 🟨,
  • 77', Apaydin F. , Joao L. ,
  • 79', Bardhi J. 🟨,
  • 85', Soukou C. , Ekincier B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Umraniyespor
22.8%
Draw
27%
Kocaelispor
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 28% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 26.9% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (3.7)
    3.46
    (3.32)
    1.86
    (1.98)
    7.3%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • Recent matches Umraniyespor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kocaelispor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Kocaelispor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Kocaelispor will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Glumac T. (Yellow Cards) Oksuz B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Kocaturk Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Mendes R. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Umraniyespor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:1 (average 1.6:0.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Umraniyespor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Kocaelispor - Umraniyespor 1:0
    22.04.2024 Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor 1:0
    01.12.2023 Kocaelispor - Umraniyespor 0:3
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum33007:169
    2Vanspor FK22004:226
    3Erokspor31117:344
    4Bandirmaspor31115:324
    5Erzurumspor21104:224
    6Pendikspor21103:124
    7Keciorengucu21103:124
    8Sakaryaspor21104:314
    9Serik Spor31111:5-44
    10Igdir FK21014:403
    11Manisa FK21013:303
    12Umraniyespor21012:203
    13Bodrumspor20202:202
    14Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    15Boluspor20113:4-11
    16Sariyer30123:5-21
    17Amedspor20112:4-21
    18Sivasspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor30122:9-7-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation