Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 00:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 71% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (41/53) | 55% (45/82) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (18/38) | 67% (22/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 62% (8/13) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (37/82) | 23% (12/53) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 53% (20/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 67% (4/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (59/91) | 58% (67/115) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (48/115) | 35% (32/91) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (107/206) | 48% (99/206) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 71% (12/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 47% (16/34) |
Chances of winning
Koki Matsuda
54% | Keisuke Saitoh
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keisuke Saitoh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Koki Matsuda - Keisuke Saitoh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.84) |
|
2.02 ↑
(1.84) |
7.7%
(8.7%) | |
Preview Facts
- Matsuda is ranked ATP: 653. Saitoh is ranked ATP: 856.
- Matsuda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Saitoh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Saitoh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Koki Matsuda won against Keisuke Saitoh?
Koki Matsuda has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keisuke Saitoh won against Koki Matsuda?
Keisuke Saitoh has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Koki Matsuda - Keisuke Saitoh were as follows:
16.09.2025
Koki Matsuda
-
Keisuke Saitoh
1:2
Latest results of Koki Matsuda
Latest results of Keisuke Saitoh
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Isomura K. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bouzige M. (RET.) | Tokuda R. | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Sekulic P. | Chung H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Takahashi Y. | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Crawford O. (3) | Barton H. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Huesler M. | Katayama S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Basing M. (Q) | Matsuda R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Kusuhara Y. (WC) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kuzmanov D. (6) | Ajdukovic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Matsuda K. (Q) | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shin S. | Nakagawa S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Kumasaka T. (Q) | Peniston R. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Mochizuki Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Jones M. | Johns G. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bigun K. (JR) | Uchiyama Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Shiraishi H. | Grenier H. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Tokuda R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sekulic P. | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Crawford O. (3) | Huesler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Basing M. | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ajdukovic D. | Matsuda K. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Nakagawa S. | Peniston R. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Uchiyama Y. | Grenier H. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Noguchi R. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Crawford O. (3) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ajdukovic D. | Peniston R. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Grenier H. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Peniston R. (4) | Shimabukuro S. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Shimabukuro S. (5) | 2 : 1 |
