Koki Matsuda vs Maxim Zhukov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Suzhou Challenger Men Koki Matsuda - Maxim Zhukov
Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
63%56%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (38/66)68% (36/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (19/38)62% (26/42)
Break Points Saved
33% (3/9)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
34% (18/53)44% (29/66)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (16/42)50% (19/38)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
55% (56/102)64% (59/92)
Return Points Won
36% (33/92)45% (46/102)
Total Points Won
46% (89/194)54% (105/194)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
63% (10/16)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)38% (6/16)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Koki Matsuda
41%
Maxim Zhukov
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Koki Matsuda's form might have worsened.
  • Maxim Zhukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxim Zhukov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Koki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Zhukov than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxim Zhukov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Koki Matsuda - Maxim Zhukov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.83)

    1.58
    (1.83)
    7.4%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Matsuda is ranked ATP: 672. Zhukov is ranked ATP: 495.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Koki Matsuda
    Latest results of Maxim Zhukov
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Sultanov K. (1)Zhang Z. (WC)
    2Kikuchi Y.Palan D. (9)
    3Samrej K. (2)Uesugi K. (Alt)
    4Dev S D P. (Alt)Wu Tung-Lin (12)0 : 2
    5Takahashi Y. (3)Leong M. W. K.
    6Bayldon B. (Alt)Fomin S. (7)
    7Matsuda R. (4)Zhu E.
    8Watanabe S. (Alt)Kumasaka T. (11)
    9Huang T. (5)Rawat S.
    10Sinha N. K. (Alt)Agafonov E. (8)
    11Isomura K. (6)Tajima N. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Matsuda K.Zhukov M. (10)1 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Wu Tung-Lin (12)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6Tajima N.Zhukov M. (10)