Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/413) | 84% (353/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/413) | 84% (353/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 59% (30/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (46/73) | 74% (108/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 24% (8/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Gruber F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Emreli M. ↓, Kusanovic T. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 0, Antiste J. ⚽, Janisch T. (A),
- 62', Drexler T. 🟨,
- 62', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
- 66', Lubach R. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Kainz F. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
- 75', Heintz D. ↓, Schmied J. ↑,
- 76', Yilmaz B. ↓, Villadsen O. ↑,
- 85', Janisch T. ↓, Valentini E. ↑,
- 87', Huseinbasic D. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Kainz F. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
- 90+3', Valentini E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Knoche R. ↓, Porstner E. ↑,
- 90+4', Lubach R. ↓, Chiumento L. ↑,
- 90+6', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Uth M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg
15.8% | Draw
20.7% | Köln
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nürnberg's form might have worsened.Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nürnberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nürnberg - Köln Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.94 ↑
(4.04) |
4.59 ↑
(4.04) |
1.51 ↓
(1.77) |
4.9%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Köln?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Köln will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 40%). Köln (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Nürnberg (2.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Köln (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Recent form of Nürnberg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Köln has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Köln is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Castrop J.
(Knee Injury)
Danilo Soares
(Yellow Cards)
Tzimas S.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Köln: Gazibegovic J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kilian L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Köln?
Nürnberg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Nürnberg?
Köln has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Köln were as follows:
15.12.2024
Köln
-
Nürnberg
3:1
Latest results of Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
