Nürnberg vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg).

2. Bundesliga - Round 33
Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
Israel	Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	2.45
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
5	23
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
0	8
Passes
82% (340/413)	84% (353/422)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	2.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.97	1.45
Total shots
5	23
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
4	12
Blocked Shots
0	7
Shots inside the Box
4	13
Shots outside the Box
1	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	3
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
0	8
Touches in opposition box
11	43
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
7	11
Passes
82% (340/413)	84% (353/422)
Long passes
45% (14/31)	59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
63% (46/73)	74% (108/145)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	24% (8/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	2.23
Throw-ins
28	25
Fouls
11	7
Tackles
67% (6/9)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
33	57
Clearances
27	15
Interceptions
11	16
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.45	0.97
Goals prevented
-0.55	-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Gruber F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Emreli M. ↓, Kusanovic T. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Antiste J. ⚽, Janisch T. (A),
62', Drexler T. 🟨,
62', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
66', Lubach R. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Kainz F. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
75', Heintz D. ↓, Schmied J. ↑,
76', Yilmaz B. ↓, Villadsen O. ↑,
85', Janisch T. ↓, Valentini E. ↑,
87', Huseinbasic D. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Kainz F. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
90+3', Valentini E. 🟨,
90+4', Knoche R. ↓, Porstner E. ↑,
90+4', Lubach R. ↓, Chiumento L. ↑,
90+6', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Uth M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Nürnberg
15.8%

Draw
20.7%

Köln
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

22.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nürnberg's form might have worsened.

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nürnberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nürnberg - Köln Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.94 ↑ (4.04)	4.59 ↑ (4.04)	1.51 ↓ (1.77)	4.9% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Köln?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Köln will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 32% – 80.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
Recent form of Nürnberg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Köln has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Köln is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Nürnberg: Castrop J. (Knee Injury) Danilo Soares (Yellow Cards) Tzimas S. (Illness)
There will not play in Köln: Gazibegovic J. (Ankle Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Köln?

Nürnberg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Nürnberg?

Köln has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Köln were as follows:

15.12.2024 Köln - Nürnberg 3:1

Latest results of Nürnberg

04.05.2025 Nürnberg - Elversberg 1:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Nürnberg 3:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Kaiserslautern - Nürnberg 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Köln

03.05.2025 Köln - Jahn Regensburg 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Hannover - Köln 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Köln - Preußen Münster 3:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Greuther Fürth - Köln 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Köln - Hertha Berlin 0:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
2	SG Dynamo Dresden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Braunschweig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Dusseldorf	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Magdeburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Holstein Kiel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Hannover	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Karlsruher SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Bochum	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nurnberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Greuther Furth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Kaiserslautern	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Paderborn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Darmstadt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Preussen Munster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Hertha Berlin	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga