Paderborn vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Paderborn - Köln
Result
1:2
29/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiaTOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 4
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.782.42
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2318
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
83% (300/361)85% (352/414)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.782.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.442.63
Total shots
2318
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
96
Shots inside the Box
1712
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3525
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
83% (300/361)85% (352/414)
Long passes
61% (34/56)51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
74% (85/115)70% (80/114)
Crosses
38% (14/37)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.941.34
Fouls
1412
Tackles
100% (10/10)90% (9/10)
Duels won
5043
Clearances Total
2436
Interceptions
315
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.632.44
Goals prevented
0.631.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Schwabe M. 🟨,
  • 25', Obermair R. (Pen),
  • 34', 1 - 0, Mehlem M. , Bilbija F. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Rondic I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Bilbija F. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Huseinbasic D. , Waldschmidt L. (A),
  • 62', Terho C. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 62', Bilbija F. , Hansen M. ,
  • 69', Michel S. 🟨,
  • 71', Mehlem M. , Klaas S. ,
  • 74', Huseinbasic D. , Kainz F. ,
  • 78', Gotze F. , Ansah I. ,
  • 80', Lemperle T. , Tigges S. ,
  • 81', Thielmann J. , Telle N. ,
  • 90', Finkgrafe M. , Ozkan M. ,
  • 90+7', Riemann M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paderborn
44%
Draw
27.2%
Köln
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 27.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 26.3% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Paderborn - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.29)
    3.48
    (3.46)
    3.26
    (3.02)
    6.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Paderborn - Köln?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Köln will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 38.6%79.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.
    • Paderborn is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Köln is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Paderborn will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Muscle Injury) Curda L. (Yellow Cards) Engelns L. (Knee Injury) Platte F. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Downs D. (Hand Injury) Gazibegovic J. (Ankle Injury) Heintz D. (Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Ljubicic D. (Yellow Cards) Maina L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Köln: Pauli J. (Concussion)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:24 (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Köln were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Köln - Paderborn 1:2
    Latest results of Paderborn
    20.03.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 0:1
    15.03.2025 Paderborn - Kaiserslautern 5:3
    02.03.2025 Paderborn - Hamburger SV 2:0
    22.02.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1
    Latest results of Köln
    20.03.2025 Köln - Verl 1:2
    15.03.2025 Köln - Darmstadt 2:1
    08.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Köln 0:1
    01.03.2025 Karlsruher - Köln 1:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke11002:113
    2SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    3Braunschweig00000:000
    4Dusseldorf00000:000
    5Magdeburg00000:000
    6Holstein Kiel00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Karlsruher SC00000:000
    9Bochum00000:000
    10Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    11Nurnberg00000:000
    12Greuther Furth00000:000
    13Kaiserslautern00000:000
    14Paderborn00000:000
    15Darmstadt00000:000
    16Preussen Munster00000:000
    17Elversberg00000:000
    18Hertha Berlin10011:2-10

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga