Paderborn vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn).

2. Bundesliga - Round 27
Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 4
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.78	2.42
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
23	18
Shots on target
8	7
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
83% (300/361)	85% (352/414)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78	2.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.44	2.63
Total shots
23	18
Shots on target
8	7
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
9	6
Shots inside the Box
17	12
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
6	4
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
35	25
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
12	14
Passes
83% (300/361)	85% (352/414)
Long passes
61% (34/56)	51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
74% (85/115)	70% (80/114)
Crosses
38% (14/37)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.94	1.34
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
100% (10/10)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
50	43
Clearances Total
24	36
Interceptions
3	15
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	7
xGOT faced
2.63	2.44
Goals prevented
0.63	1.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Schwabe M. 🟨,
25', Obermair R. (Pen),
34', 1 - 0, Mehlem M. ⚽, Bilbija F. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Rondic I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Bilbija F. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Huseinbasic D. ⚽, Waldschmidt L. (A),
62', Terho C. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
62', Bilbija F. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
69', Michel S. 🟨,
71', Mehlem M. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
74', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
78', Gotze F. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
80', Lemperle T. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
81', Thielmann J. ↓, Telle N. ↑,
90', Finkgrafe M. ↓, Ozkan M. ↑,
90+7', Riemann M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Paderborn
44%

Draw
27.2%

Köln
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.3%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Paderborn - Köln Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.29)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)	3.26 ↑ (3.02)	6.3% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Paderborn - Köln?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Köln will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 38.6% – 79.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.
Paderborn is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Köln is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Paderborn will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Muscle Injury) Curda L. (Yellow Cards) Engelns L. (Knee Injury) Platte F. (Back Injury)
There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Downs D. (Hand Injury) Gazibegovic J. (Ankle Injury) Heintz D. (Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Ljubicic D. (Yellow Cards) Maina L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Köln: Pauli J. (Concussion)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:24 (average 1.5:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.8:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Köln?

Paderborn has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Paderborn?

Köln has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Köln were as follows:

25.10.2024 Köln - Paderborn 1:2

Latest results of Paderborn

20.03.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 0:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Paderborn - Kaiserslautern 5:3 ✺

09.03.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Paderborn 0:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Paderborn - Hamburger SV 2:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Köln

20.03.2025 Köln - Verl 1:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Köln - Darmstadt 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Köln 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Karlsruher - Köln 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	10	8	0	2	14:5	9	24
2	Paderborn	10	7	2	1	17:9	8	23
3	Elversberg	10	7	1	2	22:8	14	22
4	Hannover	10	6	2	2	18:13	5	20
5	Kaiserslautern	10	6	1	3	19:12	7	19
6	Darmstadt	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
7	Karlsruher SC	10	5	3	2	17:13	4	18
8	Hertha Berlin	10	4	2	4	12:10	2	14
9	Arminia Bielefeld	10	4	1	5	19:16	3	13
10	Holstein Kiel	10	3	3	4	11:10	1	12
11	Preussen Munster	10	3	2	5	15:19	-4	11
12	Braunschweig	10	3	1	6	11:20	-9	10
13	Dusseldorf	10	3	1	6	9:18	-9	10
14	Greuther Furth	10	3	1	6	16:28	-12	10
15	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	9:14	-5	9
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	10	1	4	5	15:20	-5	7
17	Bochum	10	2	1	7	12:18	-6	7
18	Magdeburg	10	2	1	7	9:19	-10	7

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga