Result
1:2
29/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 27
- Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
Asia | TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.78 | 2.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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23 | 18 |
Shots on target |
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8 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Passes |
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83% (300/361) | 85% (352/414) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.78 | 2.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.44 | 2.63 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
17 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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6 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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35 | 25 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
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83% (300/361) | 85% (352/414) |
Long passes |
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61% (34/56) | 51% (30/59) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (85/115) | 70% (80/114) |
Crosses |
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38% (14/37) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.94 | 1.34 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
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100% (10/10) | 90% (9/10) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 43 |
Clearances Total |
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24 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
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2.63 | 2.44 |
Goals prevented |
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0.63 | 1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Schwabe M. 🟨,
- 25', Obermair R. (Pen),
- 34', 1 - 0, Mehlem M. ⚽, Bilbija F. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Rondic I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Bilbija F. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 2, Huseinbasic D. ⚽, Waldschmidt L. (A),
- 62', Terho C. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 62', Bilbija F. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 69', Michel S. 🟨,
- 71', Mehlem M. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
- 74', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
- 78', Gotze F. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
- 80', Lemperle T. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 81', Thielmann J. ↓, Telle N. ↑,
- 90', Finkgrafe M. ↓, Ozkan M. ↑,
- 90+7', Riemann M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paderborn 44% | Draw 27.2% | Köln 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Paderborn - Köln Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.29) |
3.48 ↑ (3.46) |
3.26 ↑ (3.02) |
6.3% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Köln?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Köln will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 38.6% – 79.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.
- Paderborn is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Köln is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Paderborn will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C.
(Muscle Injury)
Curda L.
(Yellow Cards)
Engelns L.
(Knee Injury)
Platte F.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Köln: Christensen J.
(Knee Injury)
Downs D.
(Hand Injury)
Gazibegovic J.
(Ankle Injury)
Heintz D.
(Injury)
Kilian L.
(Knee Injury)
Ljubicic D.
(Yellow Cards)
Maina L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Köln: Pauli J.
(Concussion)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:24 (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Köln?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Paderborn?
Köln has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Köln were as follows:
25.10.2024
Köln
-
Paderborn
1:2
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Schalke | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
2 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga